{"id":7035,"date":"2016-11-19T13:58:02","date_gmt":"2016-11-19T04:58:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=7035"},"modified":"2016-12-12T23:01:44","modified_gmt":"2016-12-12T14:01:44","slug":"gernot-wagner-m-l-weitzman-2015-climate-shock-%e3%80%8c%e6%b0%97%e5%80%99%e5%a4%89%e5%8b%95%e3%82%af%e3%83%a9%e3%82%a4%e3%82%b7%e3%82%b9%e3%80%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=7035","title":{"rendered":"Gernot Wagner, M. L. Weitzman (2015) Climate Shock [\u300c\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30b7\u30b9\u300d]"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>Gernot <strong>Wagner<\/strong> &amp; Martin L. <strong>Weitzman<\/strong>, 2015, paperback 2016:  <em>Climate Shock &#8212; The Economic Consequences of a Hotter Planet<\/em>. Princeton University Press. 250 pp. ISBN 978-0-691-17132-6 (paperback), 978-0-691-15947-8 (hardcover). [\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u3053\u306e\u30da\u30fc\u30d1\u30fc\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\u76f8\u5f53\u306e\u30c7\u30a3\u30b8\u30bf\u30eb\u7248(Amazon Kindle)\u3092\u8aad\u3093\u3060\u3002]<\/li>\n<li>\u30b2\u30eb\u30ce\u30c3\u30c8\u30fb<strong>\u30ef\u30b0\u30ca\u30fc<\/strong>, \u30de\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30fb<strong>\u30ef\u30a4\u30c4\u30de\u30f3<\/strong> \u8457, <strong>\u5c71\u5f62<\/strong> \u6d69\u751f \u8a33 (2016): <em>\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30b7\u30b9<\/em>\u3002\u6771\u6d0b\u7d4c\u6e08\u65b0\u5831\u793e\u3002[\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u7248\u3092\u8aad\u3093\u3067\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002]<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>2016\u5e7411\u6708\u3001\u672c\u5c4b\u306e\u5e97\u982d\u3067\u3001\u8868\u7d19\u306b\u300c\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u300d\u3068\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3042\u308b\u672c\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u305f\u3002\u984c\u540d\u306e\u6b8b\u308a\u306e\u90e8\u5206\u306f\u6587\u5b57\u306e\u8272\u3068\u8868\u7d19\u306e\u5730\u306e\u8272\u306e\u3061\u304c\u3044\u304c\u5c11\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3050\u306b\u306f\u308f\u304b\u3089\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002\u8a33\u8005\u304c\u5c71\u5f62\u6d69\u751f\u6c0f\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u5148\u306b\u6c17\u3065\u3044\u305f\u3002\u5c71\u5f62\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306f\u305f\u3044\u3057\u3066\u56f0\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3059\u308bLomborg\u6c0f\u306e\u672c(<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/lomborg.html\">[\u3053\u308c]<\/a>\u3084<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/lomborg_cool.html\">[\u3053\u308c]<\/a>)\u306e\u8a33\u8005\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6b66\u7530\u307b\u304b(2007)\u306e\u672c\u306e\u5206\u62c5\u57f7\u7b46\u8005\u3068\u3057\u3066Lomborg\u6c0f\u3068\u4f3c\u305f\u4e3b\u5f35\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u672c\u66f8\u3092\u3081\u304f\u3063\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u8457\u8005\u306e\u4e3b\u5f35\u306fLomborg\u6c0f\u3068\u306f\u3060\u3044\u3076\u3061\u304c\u3046\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5c71\u5f62\u6c0f\u306e\u8a33\u306f(\u6700\u8fd1\u3067\u306fPiketty\u306e\u672c<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=4689\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30e1\u30e2]<\/a>\u306a\u3069)\u3088\u304f\u3067\u304d\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/lessig_code.html\">[\u3053\u308c]<\/a>\u3084<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/weber_opensource.html\">[\u3053\u308c]<\/a>\u306a\u3069\u6821\u6b63\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u306a\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3057\u3001<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/ayres_crunch.html\">[\u3053\u308c]<\/a>\u306a\u3069\u30ad\u30fc\u30ef\u30fc\u30c9\u306e\u8a33\u8a9e\u304c\u5909\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u4e8b\u524d\u8b66\u6212\u7684\u306b\u907f\u3051\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3001\u82f1\u8a9e\u539f\u672c\u3092\u8aad\u3080\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u8a9e\u7248\u306e\u7d19\u306e\u672c\u306a\u3089\u3070\u8868\u7d19\u88cf\u3042\u305f\u308a\u306b\u8457\u8005\u7d39\u4ecb\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306f\u305a\u306a\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001Kindle\u7248\u306b\u306f\u898b\u3042\u305f\u3089\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3001\u51fa\u7248\u3082\u3068\u306e\u672c\u66f8\u3092\u7d39\u4ecb\u3059\u308b\u30da\u30fc\u30b8http:\/\/press.princeton.edu\/titles\/10414.html \u3092\u898b\u3066\u3001\u3055\u3089\u306b\u5c11\u3057\u30cd\u30c3\u30c8\u691c\u7d22\u3057\u3066\u307f\u305f\u3002(\u51fa\u751f\u5e74\u306fKindle\u7248\u306b\u3082\u542b\u307e\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u66f8\u8a8c\u60c5\u5831\u4e2d\u306b\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3002) Wagner\u6c0f\u306f1980\u5e74\u751f\u307e\u308c\u3067\u3001Harvard\u306e\u5927\u5b66\u9662\u3067Weitzman\u6c0f\u306e\u6307\u5c0e\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u305f\u3089\u3057\u3044\u3002\u672c\u66f8\u3092\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u3068\u304d\u306fEnvironmental Defense Fund\u3068\u3044\u3046NPO\u306b\u6240\u5c5e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u3068\u3057\u3066Harvard\u5927\u5b66\u306b\u3082\u3069\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305fwww.gwagner.com \u3068\u3044\u3046\u500b\u4eba\u30a6\u30a7\u30d6\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8\u3092\u6301\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002Weitzman\u6c0f\u306f1942\u5e74\u751f\u307e\u308c\u3067Harvard\u5927\u5b66\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u5b66\u306e\u6559\u6388\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8457\u8005(\u305f\u3061)\u306f\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316(\u539f\u8a9e\u306fclimate change\u3060\u304c\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u3067\u3053\u3046\u66f8\u304f)\u306f\u7dca\u6025\u6027\u306e\u3042\u308b\u554f\u984c\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u4eba\u3073\u3068\u304c\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u4f9d\u5b58\u304b\u3089\u8131\u5374\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3080\u305a\u304b\u3057\u3044\u3068\u8003\u3048\u308b\u3002\u7d4c\u6e08\u3092\u91cd\u8996\u3059\u308b\u4eba\u306b\u306f\u524d\u8005\u306b\u5426\u5b9a\u7684\u306a\u4eba\u304c\u591a\u3044\u304c(\u672c\u66f8\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u306e\u5bfe\u8c61\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304cLomborg\u304c\u305d\u306e\u4f8b\u3060\u308d\u3046)\u3001\u8457\u8005\u306f\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8457\u8005\u306f\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u3092\u9632\u3050\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u306f\u4e8c\u9178\u5316\u70ad\u7d20\u6392\u51fa\u524a\u6e1b\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3060\u3002\u4e8c\u9178\u5316\u70ad\u7d20\u306f\u5927\u6c17\u306b\u305f\u307e\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u6392\u51fa\u91cf\u3092\u4e00\u5b9a\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u5b89\u5b9a\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u3067\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u306e\u5438\u53ce\u80fd\u529b\u3088\u308a\u3082\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u3068\u3053\u308d\u307e\u3067\u6e1b\u3089\u3059\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u6392\u51fa\u524a\u6e1b\u3092\u9032\u3081\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u70ad\u7d20\u4fa1\u683c\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u653f\u7b56\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u5909\u5316\u3059\u308b\u6c17\u5019\u3078\u306e\u9069\u5fdc\u7b56\u3082\u5fc5\u8981\u3060\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u6392\u51fa\u524a\u6e1b\u3068\u9069\u5fdc\u7b56\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306f\u305f\u308a\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u305a\u3001geoengineering\u3082(\u306a\u308b\u3079\u304f\u4f7f\u3044\u305f\u304f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3060\u304c)\u4f7f\u3048\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u6e96\u5099\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304f\u3079\u304d\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3001\u3068\u8a00\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8457\u8005\u306fgeoengineering\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306fHarvard\u306b\u3044\u308bDavid 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<strong>Moriyama<\/strong>, Masahiro <strong>Sugiyama<\/strong>, Atsushi <strong>Kurosawa<\/strong>, Kooiti <strong>Masuda<\/strong>, Kazuhiro <strong>Tsuzuki<\/strong> and Yuki <strong>Ishimoto<\/strong>, 2016: The cost of stratospheric climate engineering revisited. <em>Mitigation and Adaptation Strategy for Global Change<\/em>. <a href=\"http:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/s11027-016-9723-y\">doi: 10.1007\/s11027-016-9723-y<\/a> (published online 2016-09-08).<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u6b66\u7530<\/strong> \u90a6\u5f66, <strong>\u6c60\u7530<\/strong> \u6e05\u5f66, <strong>\u6e21\u8fba<\/strong> \u6b63, <strong>\u85ac\u5e2b\u9662<\/strong> \u4ec1\u5fd7, <strong>\u5c71\u5f62<\/strong> \u6d69\u751f, <strong>\u4f0a\u85e4<\/strong> \u516c\u7d00, <strong>\u5ca9\u702c<\/strong> \u6b63\u5247, 2007: <em>\u66b4\u8d70\u3059\u308b\u300c\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u300d\u8ad6 &#8212; \u6d17\u8133\u30fb\u717d\u52d5\u30fb\u6b6a\u66f2\u306e\u6570\u3005<\/em>\u3002\u6587\u85dd\u6625\u79cb\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u6298\u308a\u8fd4\u3057\u306e\u3042\u3068\u306b\u8a73\u3057\u3044\u76ee\u6b21\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u3002<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\n== \u76ee\u6b21 ==<br \/>\nContents<br \/>\nPreface to the Paperback Edition<br \/>\nPreface: Pop Quiz<br \/>\n &#8211; Two quick questions<br \/>\nChapter 1. 911<br \/>\n &#8211; Camels in Canada<br \/>\n &#8211; Deep uncertainties<br \/>\n &#8211; The bathtub problem<br \/>\n &#8211; We can do this<br \/>\n &#8211; No we can&#8217;t<br \/>\n &#8211; The solution to climate change<br \/>\n &#8211; Tougher than anything that has come before<br \/>\nChapter 2. 411<br \/>\n &#8211; Bathtub<br \/>\n &#8211; Breakthroughs<br \/>\n &#8211; Carbon dioxide<br \/>\n &#8211; Carbon price<br \/>\n &#8211; Change, directed technical<br \/>\n &#8211; Climate science<br \/>\n &#8211; Climate sensitivity<br \/>\n &#8211; DICE<br \/>\n &#8211; Externalities<br \/>\n &#8211; Free drivers<br \/>\n &#8211; Free riders<br \/>\n &#8211; Irreversible<br \/>\n &#8211; Law of demand<br \/>\n &#8211; Ocean acidification<br \/>\n &#8211; Protocol, Kyoto<br \/>\n &#8211; Protocol, Montreal<br \/>\n &#8211; Trade-offs<br \/>\n &#8211; Uncertainty<br \/>\nChapter 3. Fat Tails<br \/>\n &#8211; Sensitive climates<br \/>\n &#8211; A planetary crapshoot<br \/>\n &#8211; Money is everything<br \/>\n &#8211; How much for a degree of warming?<br \/>\n &#8211; How much for a degree of warming one hundred years from now?<br \/>\n &#8211; Climate finance<br \/>\n &#8211; Wall Street puzzles<br \/>\n &#8211; Timing is everything<br \/>\n &#8211; What&#8217;s your number?<br \/>\nChapter 4. Willful Blindness<br \/>\n &#8211; Less than infinity &#8212; infinitely less<br \/>\n &#8211; Worst-case scenarios<br \/>\nChapter 5. Bailing Out the Planet<br \/>\n &#8211; The promise and problems of geoengineering<br \/>\n &#8211; <em>Free riders<\/em>, meet the <em>free drivers<\/em> of global warming<br \/>\n &#8211; Of seat belts and speed limits<br \/>\n &#8211; Cooling the planet, fast and slow<br \/>\n &#8211; Addicted to speed<br \/>\n &#8211; Walk before you run, research before you deploy<br \/>\n &#8211; Causalities, shmausalities<br \/>\n &#8211; An almost practical proposal<br \/>\nChapter 6. 007<br \/>\n &#8211; Climate wars<br \/>\n &#8211; Sulfer doesn&#8217;t have sex<br \/>\n &#8211; What if geoengieering does work?<br \/>\n &#8211; It&#8217;s a risk-risk world<br \/>\n &#8211; Full benefits versus costs, with some unknowns and unknowables mixed in<br \/>\nChapter 7. What You Can Do<br \/>\n &#8211; Why vote<br \/>\n &#8211; Why recycle, bike, and eat less meat<br \/>\n &#8211; Recycle <em>well<\/em><br \/>\n &#8211; The sky is the limit<br \/>\n &#8211; Step #1: Scream<br \/>\n &#8211; Step #2: Cope<br \/>\n &#8211; Step #3: Profit<br \/>\nEpilogue: A Different Kind of Optimism<br \/>\n &#8211; What we know is bad, what we don&#8217;t is worse<br \/>\n &#8211; Wrong, thrice over<br \/>\n &#8211; Stick it to carbon<br \/>\nAcknowledgments<br \/>\nNotes<br \/>\nBibliography<br \/>\nIndex<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gernot Wagner &amp; Martin L. Weitzman, 2015, paperback 2016: Climate Shock &#8212; The Economic Consequences  [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7035","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dokusyo-memo-"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7035"}],"version-history":[{"count":21,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7035\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7118,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7035\/revisions\/7118"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}