{"id":3699,"date":"2014-04-03T01:05:57","date_gmt":"2014-04-02T16:05:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=3699"},"modified":"2017-10-08T01:50:48","modified_gmt":"2017-10-07T16:50:48","slug":"michael-e-mann-20122014-the-hockey-stick-and-the-climate-wars-%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e6%b8%a9%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96%e8%ab%96%e4%ba%89","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=3699","title":{"rendered":"Michael E. Mann [\u30de\u30f3] (2012\/2014) The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars \/ \u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u8ad6\u4e89"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>Michael E. MANN, 2012: <em>The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines<\/em>. New York:Columbia University Press. xvi+395 pp. ISBN 978-0-231-15254-9<\/li>\n<li>\u30de\u30a4\u30b1\u30eb E. \u30de\u30f3 \u8457\u3001\u85e4\u5009 \u826f\u3001\u6842\u4e95 \u592a\u90ce \u8a33 (2014): <em>\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u8ad6\u4e89 &#8212; \u6a19\u7684\u306b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u66f2\u7dda<\/em>\u3002\u4eac\u90fd: \u5316\u5b66\u540c\u4eba, 375+113 pp. ISBN 978-4-7598-1576-4. \u5b9a\u4fa1 \uffe54500+\u7a0e\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u8457\u8005\u306f\u53e4\u6c17\u5019\u3001\u3068\u304f\u306b(\u53e4\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u3046\u3061\u3067\u306f\u65b0\u3057\u3044)\u6700\u8fd1\u5343\u5e74\u304b\u3089\u4e8c\u5343\u5e74\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u5fa9\u5143\u63a8\u5b9a\u3092\u5c02\u9580\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u7814\u7a76\u5185\u5bb9\u3088\u308a\u3082\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306b\u7591\u3044\u3092\u304b\u3051\u308b\u4eba\u305f\u3061\u3068\u306e\u4e89\u3044\u3067\u6709\u540d\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305d\u306e\u3046\u30612003-2007\u5e74\u3054\u308d\u306e\u3067\u304d\u3054\u3068\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u30a6\u30a7\u30d6\u8a18\u4e8b<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/memo\/hockey.html\">\u300c\u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u8ad6\u4e89\u300d<\/a>\u3067\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u305f\u3002\u307e\u305f\u30012009\u5e74\u306e\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9East Anglia\u5927\u5b66(UEA) \u6c17\u5019\u7814\u7a76\u90e8\u9580 (CRU)\u306e\u96fb\u5b50\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u66b4\u9732\u4e8b\u4ef6\u306b\u7d9a\u304f\u3067\u304d\u3054\u3068\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u6982\u7565\u306f<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/memo\/ondanka\/ipcc_ar4_error_etc.html\">\u300cIPCC\u306e\u4fe1\u7528\u3092\u5931\u589c\u3055\u305b\u305f\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3068\u305d\u308c\u3092\u3081\u3050\u308b\u8003\u5bdf\u300d<\/a>\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u3082\u3046\u5c11\u3057\u8a73\u3057\u304f\u306f\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u8a18\u4e8b<a href=\"http:\/\/d.hatena.ne.jp\/masudako\/20100716\/1279258003\">(2010-07-16)\u300c\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308bClimategate [\u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30c8\u30b2\u30fc\u30c8]\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306a\u308a\u306e\u554f\u984c\u6574\u7406\u300d<\/a>\u3001<a href=\"http:\/\/d.hatena.ne.jp\/masudako\/20101117\/1290003082\">(2010-11-17)\u300cCRU\u96fb\u5b50\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u66b4\u9732\u4e8b\u4ef6(\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308bClimategate) 1\u5468\u5e74\u300d<\/a>\u3067\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u3044\u304d\u3055\u3064\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001\u5f53\u4e8b\u8005\u306e\u3072\u3068\u308a\u3067\u3042\u308bBradley (2011)\u306b\u3088\u308b<em>Global Warming and Political Intimidation<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=1472\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30e1\u30e2]<\/a>(\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u7248\u306f\u85e4\u5009 \u826f\u3001\u6842\u4e95 \u592a\u90ce \u8a33, (2012) <em>\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u30d0\u30c3\u30b7\u30f3\u30b0<\/em>\u3001\u5316\u5b66\u540c\u4eba)\u304c\u5148\u306b\u51fa\u305f\u304c\u3001\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3053\u306eMann (\u73fe\u5728\u306f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u30da\u30f3\u30b7\u30eb\u30d9\u30cb\u30a2\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66(PSU)\u6559\u6388)\u306e\u672c\u3082\u51fa\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u984c\u540d\u306b\u306f\u300c\u8ad6\u4e89\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3070\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3070\u306f\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u5185\u306e\u5b66\u8aac\u3084\u4e8b\u5b9f\u8a8d\u8b58\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u610f\u898b\u4ea4\u63db\u3092\u3055\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u308a\u3001\u672c\u66f8\u3067\u3082\u305d\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5834\u5408\u304c\u306a\u3044\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u3080\u3057\u308d\u3001\u539f\u984c\u306ewar\u306b\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3057\u3066\u3001\u3053\u3068\u3070\u306b\u3088\u308b\u95d8\u4e89\u3092\u3055\u3059\u3068\u307f\u305f\u307b\u3046\u304c\u3088\u3044\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002Mann\u306f\u3001\u3082\u306e\u3054\u3068\u3092\u6226\u3044\u306e\u6bd4\u55a9\u3067\u3068\u3089\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002\u5f7c\u304c\u3068\u304f\u306b\u653b\u6483\u5bfe\u8c61\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u305d\u3046\u306a\u308b\u306e\u3082\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u3068\u601d\u308f\u308c\u308b\u9762\u3082\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u8aad\u8005\u304c\u4e8b\u5b9f\u3092\u3068\u3089\u3048\u308b\u969b\u306b\u306f\u5f7c\u306e\u89b3\u70b9\u306b\u3068\u3089\u308f\u308c\u3059\u304e\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3057\u305f\u307b\u3046\u304c\u3088\u3044\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u5408\u8846\u56fd\u3067\u306f\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u8cc7\u672c\u3084\u53cd\u898f\u5236\u653f\u6cbb\u52e2\u529b\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u5ba3\u4f1d\u304c\u591a\u304f\u3001Mann\u3092\u653b\u6483\u3057\u305f\u306e\u306f\u5f7c\u3089\u3060\u3068\u898b\u3066\u3088\u3044\u306e\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u672c\u66f8\u3092\u8aad\u3080\u3068\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u306e\u3059\u3079\u3066\u304c\u305d\u306e\u306a\u304b\u307e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5370\u8c61\u3092\u3082\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5b9f\u306f\u3082\u3063\u3068\u8907\u96d1\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u672c\u66f8\u306b\u306f\u3066\u3044\u306d\u3044\u306b\u6ce8\u304c\u3064\u3051\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001Mann\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3054\u3068\u306e\u89e3\u91c8\u306b\u7d0d\u5f97\u3067\u304d\u306a\u304f\u3066\u3082\u3001\u6839\u62e0\u3068\u306a\u308b\u6587\u732e\u306b\u3055\u304b\u306e\u307c\u308b\u624b\u304c\u304b\u308a\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u4f7f\u3048\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5e8f\u8ad6\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u66b4\u9732\u306e\u4ef6\u3001\u300c\u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u300d\u306e\u4ef6\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306b\u5148\u7acb\u30641996\u5e74\u306eBen Santer\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u500b\u4eba\u653b\u6483\u306e\u4ef6\u306a\u3069\u3092\u8ff0\u3079\u308b\u3002\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3089\u306f\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5bfe\u7b56\u653f\u7b56\u3092\u59a8\u5bb3\u3057\u305f\u3044\u52e2\u529b\u304c\u3001\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u6839\u62e0\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u3046\u3061\u6bd4\u8f03\u7684\u5f31\u3044\u500b\u4eba\u3092\u306d\u3089\u3044\u3046\u3061\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u89e3\u91c8\u3092\u8ff0\u3079\u3001\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u731b\u7363\u306b\u3088\u308b\u8349\u98df\u52d5\u7269\u6355\u98df\u306e\u3057\u304b\u305f\u306b\u306a\u305e\u3089\u3048\u3066\u300c\u30bb\u30ec\u30f3\u30b2\u30c6\u30a3\u6226\u7565\u300d\u3068\u540d\u3065\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b(\u30d7\u30ed\u30ed\u30fc\u30b0\u3001\u305f\u3060\u3057Santer\u306e\u4ef6\u306f\u7b2c1\u7ae0)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u308c\u304b\u3089\u300c\u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u300d\u4ee5\u524d\u306e\u8457\u8005\u306e\u7d4c\u6b74\u306e\u8a71\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u90e8\u5206\u306f\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306f\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u8a71\u984c\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u9ad8\u6821\u751f\u306e\u3053\u308d\u306b\u30b3\u30f3\u30d4\u30e5\u30fc\u30bf\u30d7\u30ed\u30b0\u30e9\u30df\u30f3\u30b0\u306b\u95a2\u5fc3\u3092\u3082\u3063\u305f\u3002\u30ab\u30ea\u30d5\u30a9\u30eb\u30cb\u30a2\u5927\u5b66\u30d0\u30fc\u30af\u30ec\u30fc\u3067\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u3092\u52c9\u5f37\u3057\u305f\u3002\u5927\u5b66\u9662\u306fYale\u5927\u5b66\u3067\u521d\u3081\u306f\u7269\u6027\u7269\u7406\u3092\u5c02\u653b\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u52e7\u3081\u3089\u308c\u305f\u5fdc\u7528\u7814\u7a76\u304c\u95a2\u5fc3\u3068\u9055\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u5c02\u9580\u3092\u5909\u3048\u3001\u5730\u8cea\u30fb\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u90e8\u306eSaltzman\u6559\u6388\u306e\u3082\u3068\u3067\u7814\u7a76\u3057\u305f(\u3053\u3053\u307e\u3067\u7b2c1\u7ae0)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u3078\u306e\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u305f\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u5909\u52d5\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u5730\u9707\u5b66\u8005Jeffery Park\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u3001\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304b\u3089\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u5468\u671f\u306e\u9577\u671f\u5909\u52d5\u3092\u62bd\u51fa\u3059\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u3057\u3001\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u306e60-80\u5e74\u5468\u671f\u306e\u632f\u52d5\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u305f\u3002Schlesinger and Ramankutty\u3084Delworth\u307b\u304b\u3082\u540c\u3058\u3082\u306e\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u305f\u304c\u3001Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)\u3068\u3044\u3046\u540d\u307e\u3048\u306fMann\u304c(\u8a18\u8005\u306b\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089)\u3064\u3051\u305f\u306e\u3060\u305d\u3046\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3082\u3063\u3068\u904e\u53bb\u306b\u3055\u304b\u306e\u307c\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3001\u6a5f\u5668\u89b3\u6e2c\u3067\u306a\u3044\u53e4\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u8a3c\u62e0\u3001\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308bproxy data\u3092\u3082\u6271\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3057\u305f\u3002\u305d\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6Bradley\u3068\u306e\u5171\u540c\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u30016\u4e16\u7d00\u3055\u304b\u306e\u307c\u308a\u3001AMO\u306f\u7d99\u7d9a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u307b\u304b\u3001250\u5e74\u5468\u671f\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u305f(\u3053\u3053\u307e\u3067\u7b2c3\u7ae0)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c3\u7ae0\u306b\u306f\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308b\u4e2d\u4e16\u6e29\u6696\u671f(\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u304f\u8a8d\u8b58\u3067\u306f\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6e29\u6696\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001Medieval Climate Anomaly \u3068\u547c\u3070\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044)\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c4\u7ae0\u306f\u3001\u306e\u3061\u306b\u300c\u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u300d\u306e\u540d\u3067\u77e5\u3089\u308c\u305fMann, Bradley and Hughes (1998 <em>Nature<\/em>  [MBH98]\u30681999 <em>Geophysical Research Letters<\/em> [MBH99])\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3002\u305d\u308c\u307e\u3067\u5e74\u8f2a\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6c17\u5019\u5fa9\u5143\u63a8\u5b9a\u306f\u3042\u3063\u305f(Hughes\u306f\u305d\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u3060)\u304c\u3001\u591a\u69d8\u306aproxy data\u3092\u3044\u3063\u3057\u3087\u306b\u6271\u3046\u306e\u306f\u65b0\u3057\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u8cea\u304c\u307e\u3061\u307e\u3061\u306a\u306e\u3067\u7d71\u8a08\u624b\u6cd5\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305d\u3053\u3067\u4e3b\u6210\u5206\u5206\u6790\u3068\u3044\u3046\u591a\u5909\u91cf\u89e3\u6790\u3092\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u306f\u4fe1\u983c\u533a\u9593\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3002\u897f\u66a61400\u5e74\u307e\u3067\u3055\u304b\u306e\u307c\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067MBH98\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u3092\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u897f\u66a61000\u5e74\u307e\u3067\u3055\u304b\u306e\u307c\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305d\u306e\u904e\u7a0b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5317\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u897f\u90e8\u306e\u9ad8\u5c71\u306e\u5e74\u8f2a\u306b\u7279\u5225\u306a\u6ce8\u610f\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u300120\u4e16\u7d00\u306e\u4e8c\u9178\u5316\u70ad\u7d20\u80a5\u6599\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u88dc\u6b63\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u5229\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u897f\u66a61400\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\u306f\u4e0d\u78ba\u304b\u3055\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3078\u306e\u6ce8\u610f\u3092\u542b\u3081\u3066\u3001MBH99\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u3092\u51fa\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Proxy data\u306e\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u3075\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002 \u4e3b\u6210\u5206\u5206\u6790\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7d71\u8a08\u624b\u6cd5\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u30012\u5730\u57df\u304b\u3089\u306a\u308b\u4eee\u60f3\u7684\u306a\u4e16\u754c\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7c21\u5358\u306a\u4f8b\u3092\u4f5c\u3063\u3066\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u7b2c9\u7ae0\u306eMcIntyre\u3078\u306e\u53cd\u8ad6\u3092\u8aac\u660e\u3059\u308b\u4f0f\u7dda\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6700\u5c0f\u9650\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u3092\u3057\u305f\u3089\u3057\u3044\u304c\u30012\u5909\u91cf\u3067\u306f\u591a\u5909\u91cf\u3089\u3057\u304f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u304c\u6b20\u70b9\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u3082\u3063\u3068\u30823\u6b21\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u7a7a\u9593\u306e\u8ef8\u306e\u56de\u8ee2\u306f\u304b\u306a\u308a\u9577\u304f\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3082\u308f\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u8aad\u8005\u3082\u3044\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b\u3089\u3001\u8aad\u307f\u3082\u306e\u306e\u672c\u3067\u3053\u308c\u3088\u308a\u3082\u308f\u304b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u304f\u8aac\u660e\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3080\u305a\u304b\u3057\u3044\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306f\u3001\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u5f79\u5272\u306e\u56e0\u679c\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044(\u305d\u308c\u3092\u793a\u3059\u306b\u306f\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u3088\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3060)\u304c\u3001\u76f8\u95a2\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3002MBH98\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u767a\u8868\u6642\u306f\u30011998\u5e74\u521d\u3081\u306e\u5168\u7403\u7684\u9ad8\u6e29\u3068\u3001Earth Day (4\u670822\u65e5)\u3060\u3063\u305f\u305b\u3044\u3082\u3042\u3063\u3066\u304b\u5831\u9053\u306e\u6ce8\u76ee\u3092\u96c6\u3081\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1998\u5e74\u306e\u7d42\u308f\u308a\u306bIPCC\u306e\u7b2c3\u6b21\u8a55\u4fa1\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306e\u300c\u53e4\u6c17\u5019\u304b\u3089\u306e\u8a3c\u62e0\u300d\u306e\u7ae0\u306e\u8457\u8005\u306e\u3072\u3068\u308a\u306b\u9078\u3070\u308c\u305f\u30022001\u5e74\u306b\u51fa\u305f\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306e\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u306fMBH99\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u304a\u3082\u306b\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306f\u8457\u8005\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u30011000\u5e74\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308b1\u5e74\u304d\u3056\u307f\u306e\u89e3\u6790\u3067\u8aa4\u5dee\u8a55\u4fa1\u304c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u306f\u5f53\u6642\u3053\u308c\u3060\u3051\u3060\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c5\u7ae0\u3067\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u3053\u308d\u307e\u3067\u306e\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u305f\u3061\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002Oreskes and Conway (2010) \u306e<em>Merchants of Doubt<\/em> <a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/oreskes_conway.html\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30ce\u30fc\u30c8]<\/a>\u3084Hoggan (2009)\u306e<em>Climate Cover-Up<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/hoggan2009.html\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30ce\u30fc\u30c8]<\/a>\u3068\u91cd\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u30012005\u5e74\u3054\u308d\u304b\u3089\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u5ba3\u4f1d\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6e90\u306f\u3001ExxonMobil\u306a\u3069\u306e\u4e0a\u5834\u5927\u4f01\u696d\u306b\u4ee3\u308f\u3063\u3066\u3001Koch (\u30b3\u30fc\u30af)\u3068Scaife (\u30b9\u30ab\u30a4\u30d5)\u3068\u3044\u3046\u975e\u4e0a\u5834\u4f01\u696d\u3068\u305d\u308c\u304c\u4f5c\u3063\u305f\u8ca1\u56e3\u304c\u304a\u3082\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c6\u7ae0\u3067\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u3042\u308a\u304b\u305f\u3092\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u67fb\u8aad\u306f\u307e\u3061\u304c\u3044\u3092\u306a\u304f\u3059\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u304c\u6e1b\u3089\u305b\u308b\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u8ad6\u6587\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u304b\u3089\u691c\u8a0e\u30fb\u6279\u5224\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u8a55\u4fa1\u304c\u5b9a\u307e\u3063\u3066\u304f\u308b\u3002(\u3053\u3053\u3067\u3001Mann\u304c\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u8cea\u304c\u60aa\u3044\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u8ad6\u6587\u306e\u4ef6\u3068\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u8cea\u306f\u60aa\u304f\u306a\u3044\u304c\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u307e\u3061\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3068\u601d\u308f\u308c\u308b\u8ad6\u6587\u306e\u4ef6\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u304f\u308b\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u4e8b\u60c5\u3092\u77e5\u3089\u306a\u3044\u8aad\u8005\u306b\u306f\u5f8c\u8005\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u3082\u8cea\u304c\u60aa\u3044\u3068\u601d\u308f\u308c\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002)  \u307e\u3060\u6c7a\u7740\u306e\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u554f\u984c\u306e\u4f8b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u71b1\u5e2f\u306e\u706b\u5c71\u6d3b\u52d5\u3068\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u3084AMO\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u304c\u3042\u3052\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30d1\u30e9\u30c0\u30a4\u30e0\u8ee2\u63db\u306e\u8a71\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002\u30ab\u30aa\u30b9\u7406\u8ad6\u306e\u8a95\u751f\u3082\u305d\u306e\u4f8b\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u767a\u7aef\u306e\u3072\u3068\u3064\u306eLorenz\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306bSaltzman\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001Lorenz\u306e<em>Essence of Chaos<\/em> (<em>\u30ab\u30aa\u30b9\u306e\u30a8\u30c3\u30bb\u30f3\u30b9<\/em>)\u306b\u3082\u51fa\u3066\u304f\u308b\u8a71\u3060\u3002\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u304c\u81ea\u5206\u3092\u30ac\u30ea\u30ec\u30aa\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30d1\u30e9\u30c0\u30a4\u30e0\u8ee2\u63db\u8005\u3060\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u306f\u5426\u5b9a\u7684\u306b\u7d39\u4ecb\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b(\u305d\u306e\u5426\u5b9a\u306e\u6839\u62e0\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u304c\u5145\u5206\u3067\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306a\u6c17\u3082\u3059\u308b\u304c)\u3002IPCC\u306e\u50cd\u304d\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002IPCC\u306f\u4e16\u754c\u653f\u5e9c\u3092\u3081\u3056\u3059\u52e2\u529b\u306e\u9670\u8b00\u3060\u3068\u3059\u308b\u8aac\u306f\u5426\u5b9a\u7684\u306b\u7d39\u4ecb\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u30de\u30b9\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3001(\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u3092\u5426\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u306b\u305b\u3088\u91cd\u8996\u3059\u308b\u306b\u305b\u3088)\u6975\u7aef\u306a\u8ad6\u8abf\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3001\u300c\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u305f\u3061\u306f\u540c\u610f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5370\u8c61\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3066\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\u3092\u9045\u3089\u305b\u308b\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u3082\u3061\u3084\u3059\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6ce8\u610f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c7\u7ae0\u304b\u3089\u7b2c15\u7ae0\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3001\u8457\u8005\u304c\u7d4c\u9a13\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068(\u3068\u304f\u306b\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u304b\u3089\u3069\u3093\u306a\u653b\u6483\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u53cd\u6483\u3057\u305f\u304b)\u3092\u4e2d\u5fc3\u306b\u3001\u3060\u3044\u305f\u3044\u6642\u9593\u306e\u9806\u306b\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u8a71\u984c\u306f\u4e0a\u306b\u8ff0\u3079\u305f\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306e\u30a6\u30a7\u30d6\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u3068\u5171\u901a\u306a\u3082\u306e\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5171\u901a\u6027\u306f\u5076\u7136\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3066\u3001\u8457\u8005\u305f\u3061\u304c2004\u5e7412\u6708\u306b\u59cb\u3081\u305f\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u300cRealClimate\u300d(\u7b2c9\u7ae0\u306b\u51fa\u3066\u304f\u308b)\u3092\u308f\u305f\u3057\u304c\u60c5\u5831\u6e90\u3068\u3057\u3066\u91cd\u8996\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3060\u3002RealClimate\u306f\u6c17\u5019\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u5185\u5bb9\u3092\u6271\u3046\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8ad6\u3058\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3082\u5f7c\u3089\u304c\u91cd\u8996\u3059\u308b\u79d1\u5b66\u8ad6\u6587\u306e\u6b20\u70b9\u3084\u5831\u9053\u306e\u4e0d\u6b63\u78ba\u3055\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u304a\u3082\u306a\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u6b04\u306b\u66f8\u304d\u3053\u307e\u308c\u308b\u60c5\u5831\u304b\u3089\u30ea\u30f3\u30af\u3092\u305f\u3069\u3063\u3066\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u306a\u52d5\u304d\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3002\u4e8b\u4ef6\u306e\u60c5\u5831\u306f\u3001\u672c\u66f8\u306e\u307b\u3046\u304c\u8a73\u3057\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u4e0a\u306b\u3082\u8ff0\u3079\u305f\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8457\u8005\u306f\u3082\u306e\u3054\u3068\u3092\u5fc5\u8981\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u6575\u5bfe\u95a2\u4fc2\u3067\u3068\u3089\u3048\u304c\u3061\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u305d\u306e\u70b9\u3092\u5272\u308a\u5f15\u3044\u3066\u8aad\u3093\u3060\u307b\u3046\u304c\u3088\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u30fb\u61d0\u7591\u8ad6\u306b\u3082\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u306a\u3082\u306e\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u8457\u8005\u306f\u305d\u308c\u3092\u4e00\u8272\u306b\u307f\u306a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001Hans von Storch\u304b\u3089\u306e\u6279\u5224\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u304b\u3089\u306e\u653b\u6483\u3068\u306f\u307f\u306a\u3055\u305a\u3001\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u306b\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u5185\u306e\u6279\u5224\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001von Storch\u304c\u306a\u304b\u307e\u3046\u3061\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066Mann\u305f\u3061\u3092\u5f62\u5bb9\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306b\u4f7f\u3063\u305f\u4fd7\u8a9e\u306e\u5370\u8c61\u304c\u60aa\u304b\u3063\u305f\u305b\u3044\u304b\u3001\u53cd\u611f\u3092\u3082\u3063\u305f\u307e\u307e\u306e\u8a18\u8ff0\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>MBH98\/99\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u6279\u5224\u306e\u3046\u3061\u3001Soon and Baliunas (2003)\u306e\u4ef6\u306f\u7b2c8\u7ae0\u3001McIntyre and McKitrick (2003, 2005)\u306e\u4ef6\u306f\u7b2c8\u7ae0\u304b\u3089\u7b2c9\u7ae0\u3067\u8ad6\u3058\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>McIntyre and McKitrick\u306f\u3001\u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u578b\u306f\u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u3060\u3051\u306e\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u304b\u3089\u3082\u7d71\u8a08\u51e6\u7406\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u73fe\u308f\u308c\u308b\u306b\u305b\u306e\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u3060\u3068\u4e3b\u5f35\u3057\u305f\u3002\u305d\u3053\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4e3b\u6210\u5206\u5206\u6790\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7d71\u8a08\u624b\u6cd5\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u6280\u8853\u7684\u554f\u984c\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u4e3b\u6210\u5206\u5206\u6790\u306f\u5404\u5909\u91cf\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e\u504f\u5dee\u3092\u6271\u3046\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u3069\u3093\u306a\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e\u504f\u5dee\u3092\u3068\u308b\u304b\u306f\u8907\u6570\u306e\u9078\u629e\u304c\u53ef\u80fd\u3060\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u306e\u3068\u308a\u304b\u305f\u3092\u5909\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001\u6210\u5206\u3092\u3044\u304f\u3064\u307e\u3067\u4f7f\u3048\u3070\u3088\u3044\u304b\u3082\u5909\u308f\u308b\u3002Mann\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001McIntyre and McKitrick\u306f\u9577\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3092\u3068\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u6210\u5206\u306e\u500b\u6570\u306f\u8fd1\u5e74\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3092\u3068\u3063\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3068\u5909\u3048\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3001\u4e0d\u9069\u5207\u306a\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u5f97\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306fRealClimate\u306e\u521d\u671f\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u672c\u66f8\u306e\u8a18\u8ff0\u3067\u7406\u89e3\u3067\u304d\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306f\u3061\u3087\u3063\u3068\u4e0d\u5b89\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5408\u8846\u56fd\u8b70\u4f1a\u4e0b\u9662\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u5546\u696d\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a\u306eBarton\u59d4\u54e1\u9577\u304b\u3089\u306e\u624b\u7d19(Mann\u306f\u8105\u8feb\u72b6\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046)\u306e\u4ef6\u306f\u7b2c10\u7ae0\u306b\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066Barton\u59d4\u54e1\u9577\u304c\u4f9d\u983c\u3057\u305f\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u8005Wegman\u306e\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u3068\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a\u306eBoehlert\u59d4\u54e1\u9577\u304c\u4f9d\u983c\u3057\u305f\u79d1\u5b66\u30a2\u30ab\u30c7\u30df\u30fc\u306e\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a\u306e\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3089\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u305f\u516c\u8074\u4f1a\u306e\u4ef6\u306f\u7b2c11\u7ae0\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002Barton\u59d4\u54e1\u9577\u3068\u305d\u306e\u306a\u304b\u307e\u305f\u3061\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u3078\u306e\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u5e72\u6e09\u306f\u30de\u30c3\u30ab\u30fc\u30b7\u30fc\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u30eb\u30a4\u30bb\u30f3\u30b3\u3092\u601d\u308f\u305b\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002Boerlert\u59d4\u54e1\u9577\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u3068\u74b0\u5883\u554f\u984c\u306b\u7406\u89e3\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5171\u548c\u515a\u8b70\u54e1\u306f\u7d76\u6ec5\u3057\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u601d\u308f\u308c\u305f\u3002\u306a\u304aWegman\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306bBradley\u306e<em>Paleoclimatology<\/em>\u306e\u672c\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u304b\u3089\u306e\u76d7\u4f5c\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u4ef6\u306f\u7b2c15\u7ae0\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>IPCC\u306e\u7b2c4\u6b21\u5831\u544a\u66f8(Mann\u306f\u305d\u306e\u8457\u8005\u306b\u306f\u52a0\u308f\u3089\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f)\u3067\u306f\u3001 \u53e4\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u7ae0\u306b\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u4e8c\u5343\u5e74\u306e\u7bc0\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u7b2c3\u6b21\u3088\u308a\u8a73\u3057\u3044\u8b70\u8ad6\u304c\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u304c\u4eba\u9593\u6d3b\u52d5\u8d77\u6e90\u3067\u3042\u308b\u6839\u62e0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u53e4\u6c17\u5019\u306f\u7b2c3\u6b21\u307b\u3069\u91cd\u8996\u3055\u308c\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u305f\u3061\u306f(\u4e00\u65b9\u3067)\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3053\u3060\u308f\u308a\u7d9a\u3051\u305f\u3002Loehle (2007)\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u4e8c\u5343\u5e74\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u5fa9\u5143\u63a8\u5b9a\u3092\u3057\u3066\u300c\u4e2d\u4e16\u306f\u6e29\u6696\u3060\u3063\u305f\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u6b20\u70b9\u306f\u3042\u308b\u304c\u79d1\u5b66\u8ad6\u6587\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308b\u3002McIntyre\u306fMann\u306e\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3001Mann\u304b\u3089\u898b\u308b\u3068\u307e\u3068\u306f\u305a\u308c\u306a\u6279\u5224\u3092\u9023\u767a\u3057\u305f(\u3053\u3053\u307e\u3067\u7b2c12\u7ae0)\u3002\u307e\u305fCRU\u306eBriffa\u306e\u5e74\u8f2a\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3001\u30ed\u30b7\u30a2\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3078\u306e\u7591\u3044\u3092\u5ba3\u4f1d\u3057\u305f\u3002\u4ed6\u65b9\u306720\u4e16\u7d00\u306e\u6c17\u8c61\u89b3\u6e2c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u3088\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u3082\u7591\u3044\u3092\u5411\u3051\u305f\u3002McIntyre\u305f\u3061\u306fCRU\u306eJones\u306b\u7570\u5e38\u306b\u591a\u6570\u306e\u60c5\u5831\u516c\u958b\u8acb\u6c42\u3092\u3057\u305f\u3002\u307e\u305fKeenan\u306f\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306eSUNY\u306eW.C. Wang\u304c\u4e2d\u56fd\u306e\u89b3\u6e2c\u70b9\u306e\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u516c\u958b\u3057\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068(\u4e2d\u56fd\u5074\u306e\u898f\u5236\u306b\u3088\u308b)\u3092\u4e0d\u6b63\u3060\u3068\u3057\u3066\u653b\u6483\u3057\u305f(\u3053\u3053\u307e\u306713\u7ae0)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2009\u5e7411\u6708\u3001CRU\u304b\u3089\u76d7\u307e\u308c\u305f\u96fb\u5b50\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u304c\u66b4\u9732\u3055\u308c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4e2d\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3070\u304c\u6587\u8108\u3068\u7121\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u89e3\u91c8\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3001\u4e3b\u6d41\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u307e\u3067\u304c\u305d\u306e\u307e\u307e\u4f1d\u3048\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u53cd\u8ad6\u306f\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u304c\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u8a18\u4e8b<a href=\"http:\/\/blog.livedoor.jp\/climatescientists\/archives\/1114005.html\">(2010-02-20)\u300c\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308bClimategate\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3001\u6e21\u8fba(2010)\u3078\u306e\u53cd\u8ad6(2)\u300d<\/a>\u3001<a href=\"http:\/\/blog.livedoor.jp\/climatescientists\/archives\/1114016.html\">\u300c\u540c(3)\u300d<\/a>\u3067\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3068\u91cd\u306a\u308b\u3082\u306e\u304c\u591a\u3044\u3002\u307e\u305f\u500b\u4eba\u653b\u6483\u3082\u3042\u308a\u3001Mann\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u5ba4\u306b\u306f\u767d\u3044\u7c89\u306e\u306f\u3044\u3063\u305f\u90f5\u4fbf\u304c\u5c4a\u3044\u3066\u8b66\u5bdf\u306e\u635c\u67fb\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u305d\u3046\u3060\u3002\u7c89\u306f\u30b3\u30fc\u30f3\u30b9\u30bf\u30fc\u30c1\u3067\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u6bd2\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u8105\u8feb\u3068\u611f\u3058\u3089\u308c\u305f(\u3053\u3053\u307e\u306714\u7ae0)\u3002\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u8b70\u4f1a\u3001UEA\u3001PSU\u304c\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u8abf\u67fb\u3057\u3001CRU\u306b\u3082Mann\u306b\u3082\u4e0d\u6b63\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u7d50\u8ad6\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u653b\u6483\u306f\u7d9a\u304d\u30012010\u5e74\u3001\u30d0\u30fc\u30b8\u30cb\u30a2\u5dde\u53f8\u6cd5\u9577\u5b98Cuccinelli\u304c\u30d0\u30fc\u30b8\u30cb\u30a2\u5927\u5b66\u306b1999-2005\u5e74\u306b\u5728\u7c4d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305fMann\u306e\u4e0d\u6b63\u3092\u7591\u3063\u3066\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u8981\u6c42\u3057\u305f\u3002\u5927\u5b66\u306f\u62d2\u5426\u3057\u3001\u5dde\u306e\u5224\u4e8b\u3082\u8981\u6c42\u6839\u62e0\u304c\u8584\u5f31\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3057\u305f\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3053\u308c\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u306f\u591a\u304f\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u304b\u3089Mann\u3078\u306e\u9023\u5e2f\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u305f(\u3053\u3053\u307e\u306715\u7ae0)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u30a8\u30d4\u30ed\u30fc\u30b0\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001\u8457\u8005\u306fMBH98\/99\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u308d\u307e\u3067\u306f\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u306b\u306f\u3075\u308c\u305a\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u306b\u5c02\u5ff5\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3002\u6709\u540d\u4eba\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304b\u3089\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f79\u5272\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u5165\u308c\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u77e5\u8b58\u304c\u793e\u4f1a\u306b\u53ca\u307c\u3059\u610f\u5473\u3092\u4f1d\u3048\u3001\u307e\u305f\u653b\u6483\u306b\u5bfe\u6297\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u5927\u8cc7\u672c\u306a\u3069\u306b\u3088\u308b\u653b\u6483\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u5bfe\u6297\u80fd\u529b\u306f\u5f31\u3044\u3002\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u3001\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u3084\u30b3\u30df\u30e5\u30cb\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u3068\u5354\u529b\u3057\u3066\u50cd\u304f\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3001\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>400\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u3092\u8d8a\u3059\u6587\u7ae0\u3092\u8a33\u3055\u308c\u305f\u8a33\u8005\u306b\u656c\u610f\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u8a33\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u6539\u826f\u3057\u3066\u307b\u3057\u3044\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3082\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306b\u7d9a\u304f\u6298\u308a\u8fd4\u3057\u306e\u3042\u3068\u306b\u5217\u6319\u3059\u308b\u3002\u305d\u306e\u3042\u3068\u306b\u8a73\u3057\u3044\u76ee\u6b21\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u3002<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\n* \u540c\u3058\u4eba\u306e\u540d\u307e\u3048\u306e\u8868\u8a18\u304c\u4e00\u5b9a\u3057\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u3046\u3061\u6b63\u5f0f\u540d\u3068\u901a\u79f0(\u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u300c\u30c8\u30de\u30b9\u300d\u3068\u300c\u30c8\u30e0\u300d)\u304c\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\u539f\u66f8\u304b\u3089\u304d\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u30011\u7ae0 12\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u521d\u51fa\u30673\u7ae0\u306b\u591a\u6570\u56de\u73fe\u308f\u308c\u308b\u300c\u30d9\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u306fBarry Saltzman\u306a\u306e\u3067\u300c\u30d0\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u3068\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060\u308d\u3046\u300211\u7ae0 224\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u300c\u30b2\u30ea\u30fc\u30fb\u30ce\u30fc\u30b9\u300d\u306f215\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u300c\u30b8\u30a7\u30e9\u30eb\u30c9\u30fb\u30ce\u30fc\u30b9\u300d\u3068\u540c\u3058\u4eba\u3067\u300c\u30b8\u30a7\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u3068\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060\u308d\u3046(\u8a3c\u62e0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u793a\u305b\u308b\u307b\u3069\u78ba\u304b\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304c\u89aa\u3057\u3044\u4eba\u304c\u305d\u3046\u547c\u3093\u3067\u3044\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a18\u61b6\u304c\u3042\u308b)\u30028\u7ae0 159\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u300c\u30b8\u30a7\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30c9\u300d\u306fJeffords \u306a\u306e\u3067\u300c\u30b8\u30a7\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30ba\u300d\u306b\u7d71\u4e00\u3059\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 4\u7ae0 60-61\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u300c\u691c\u5b9a\u300d\u306f\u3001\u7d71\u8a08\u306e\u6587\u8108\u3067\u306f\u4eee\u8aac\u691c\u5b9a(test)\u3068\u601d\u308f\u308c\u3084\u3059\u3044\u7528\u8a9e\u3060\u304c\u3001validation\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u4ed6\u306e\u7528\u8a9e\u3092\u4f7f\u3046\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3002\u305d\u306e\u524d\u306b&#8221;validation&#8221; or &#8220;verification&#8221;(\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u8a33\u8a9e\u306f\u300c\u300e\u691c\u5b9a\u300f\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u300e\u691c\u8a3c\u300f\u300d)\u3068\u3042\u308b\u304c \u3001\u4e21\u8005\u306e\u610f\u5473\u306f\u533a\u5225\u3055\u308c\u305a\u540c\u610f\u8a9e\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u6271\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u300c\u691c\u8a3c\u300d\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3088\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 4\u7ae0 63\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u6ce818(\u5dfb\u672b\u90e8\u306e22\u30da\u30fc\u30b8) \u300c2005\u5e74\u30682010\u5e74\u3092\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u306b\u7d50\u3073\u3064\u3051\u3066\u300d\u306f\u300c2005\u5e74\u30682010\u5e74\u306f\u7d71\u8a08\u4e0a\u540c\u9806\u4f4d\u3067\u300d\u3068\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3002(\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306etie\u306f\u30b9\u30dd\u30fc\u30c4\u306e\u300c\u30bf\u30a4\u8a18\u9332\u300d\u306e\u30bf\u30a4)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 4\u7ae0 74\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u30c8\u30de\u30b9\u30fb\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ea\u30fc\u300d\u306b\u7d9a\u304f\u304b\u3063\u3053\u306e\u4e2d\u3002\u30af\u30ed\u30fc\u30ea\u30fc(Crowley)\u304c\u8ad6\u6587\u306e\u5171\u8457\u8005\u306e\u3072\u3068\u308a\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3055\u3057\u3001\u3082\u3046\u3072\u3068\u308a\u306e\u4eba\u7269\u304c\u3044\u305f\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3001\u300c\u3068\u300d\u3092\u9664\u304d\u300c\u5171\u540c\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u300d\u3092\u300c\u8457\u8005\u306e\u3072\u3068\u308a\u300d\u3068\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 5\u7ae0 79\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u307b\u304b\u591a\u6570\u7b87\u6240\u306e\u300c\u9069\u6b63\u306a\u79d1\u5b66\u300d\u306fsound science\u306a\u306e\u3067\u300c\u5065\u5168\u306a\u79d1\u5b66\u300d\u304c\u3088\u3044\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304b? (\u6587\u5b57\u901a\u308a\u306e\u610f\u5473\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3068\u3001\u5171\u548c\u515a\u7cfb\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u306a\u3069\u306e\u601d\u308f\u304f\u306e\u306f\u3044\u3063\u305f\u610f\u5473\u306e\u5834\u5408\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u8a33\u3057\u308f\u3051\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002)<\/p>\n<p>* 5\u7ae0 85\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u79c1\u304c\u5f53\u6642\u3001\u535a\u58eb\u8ab2\u7a0b\u306b\u5728\u7c4d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u30ab\u30ea\u30d5\u30a9\u30eb\u30cb\u30a2\u5927\u5b66\u300d\u3068\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u8457\u8005\u306e\u7d4c\u6b74\u304b\u3089\u307f\u3066\u300c\u535a\u58eb\u8ab2\u7a0b\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u300c\u5b66\u90e8\u8ab2\u7a0b\u300d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u306f\u305a\u3002\u539f\u6587\u306bmy degree\u3068\u3042\u308b\u306e\u306fbatchelor\u306e\u5b66\u4f4d\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 8\u7ae0 178\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u8981\u56e0\u5206\u6790\u300d\u306f\u300c\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 11\u7ae0 218\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u5e73\u5747\u5316\u554f\u984c\u300d\u3068\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u3069\u3093\u306a\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3092\u3068\u308b\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u554f\u984c\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u539f\u6587issue of centering\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001181\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306b\u5408\u308f\u305b\u3066\u300c\u30bb\u30f3\u30bf\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u554f\u984c\u300d\u3068\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u307e\u305f224\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u300c\u4e3b\u6210\u5206\u5206\u6790\u3092\u5e73\u5747\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3068\u300d\u306f\u300c\u4e3b\u6210\u5206\u5206\u6790\u3067\u4f7f\u3046\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u306e\u3068\u308a\u304b\u305f\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u306f\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 11\u7ae0 219\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u306e\u91cd\u93ae\u300d\u306f\u300c\u30ed\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u30fbA\u30fb\u30d4\u30eb\u30b1\u30fb\u30b8\u30e5\u30cb\u30a2\u300d\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u5f62\u5bb9\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u305d\u3050\u308f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u8457\u8005\u306b\u6575\u6271\u3044\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u306e\u96c6\u56e3\u3092\u4ee3\u8868\u3059\u308b\u5b58\u5728\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3057\u3001\u4e16\u4ee3\u306f\u8457\u8005\u3068\u307b\u307c\u540c\u3058\u3060\u3002\u539f\u6587\u3067\u306fcontrarian pundit\u3067\u3001\u8a33\u8a9e\u306b\u81ea\u4fe1\u304c\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001Mann\u304cPielke\u3092\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u306b\u304f\u304f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3070\u300c\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u8005\u306e\u5b66\u8005\u300d\u3001\u305d\u3046\u3067\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u300c\u9006\u5f35\u308a\u5c4b\u306e\u5b66\u8005\u300d\u3042\u305f\u308a\u304c\u3088\u3044\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304b?<\/p>\n<p>* 11\u7ae0 222\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u30a8\u30eb\u30c7\u30b7\u30e5\u4fc2\u6570\u300d\u306f\u300c\u30a8\u30eb\u30c7\u30b7\u30e5\u6570\u300d\u3001\u540c\u69d8\u306b\u300c\u30de\u30f3\u4fc2\u6570\u300d\u306f\u300c\u30de\u30f3\u6570\u300d\u306e\u307b\u3046\u304c\u3088\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 12\u7ae0 256\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u6b63\u898f\u5316\u4e88\u60f3-\u6700\u5927\u5316\u6cd5\u300d\u306f234\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u300c\u6a19\u6e96\u5316\u3055\u308c\u305f\u671f\u5f85\u5024\u6700\u5927\u5316\u624b\u6cd5\u300d\u3068\u540c\u3058\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u539f\u8a9e\u306fregularized expectation-maximization method\u3067\u3001regularized\u306e\u610f\u5473\u304c\u3088\u304f\u308f\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044(Mann\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u3092\u8aad\u3080\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3060)\u3002\u300c\u6b63\u898f\u5316\u300d\u306fnormalized\u3001\u300c\u6a19\u6e96\u5316\u300d\u306fstandardized\u306e\u8a33\u8a9e\u3068\u91cd\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u304c\u3001\u4eee\u306b\u524d\u8005\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u300c\u6b63\u898f\u5316\u3055\u308c\u305f\u671f\u5f85\u5024\u3092\u6700\u5927\u5316\u3059\u308b\u624b\u6cd5\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b?<\/p>\n<p>* 14\u7ae0 292\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c(\u71b1\u304c)\u62e1\u6563\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300d\u3002\u539f\u8a9e\u306fbeing redistributed\u3002\u300c\u62e1\u6563\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7269\u7406\u30d7\u30ed\u30bb\u30b9\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3053\u306e\u7528\u8a9e\u306f\u907f\u3051\u305f\u307b\u3046\u304c\u3088\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u4eee\u306b\u76f4\u8a33\u3059\u308c\u3070\u300c\u518d\u5206\u914d\u3055\u308c\u308b\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 14\u7ae0 305\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u30c8\u30ea\u30c3\u30af\u3092\u4f7f\u3046\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u3092&#8230;\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3002\u539f\u6587\u201cThe denial movement will happily accuse scientists of playing tricks and engaged in fraud, yet at the same time engage in the very things they accuse the scientific community of.\u201d  \u8a33\u3057\u306b\u304f\u3044\u304c\u3001\u300c\u5426\u5b9a\u904b\u52d5\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u304c\u30c8\u30ea\u30c3\u30af\u3092\u4f7f\u3044\u30a4\u30f3\u30c1\u30ad\u3092\u3057\u305f\u3068\u975e\u96e3\u3059\u308b\u304c\u3001\u540c\u6642\u306b\u5f7c\u3089\u306f\u81ea\u5206\u305f\u3061\u304c\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u96c6\u56e3\u306e\u60aa\u4e8b\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305d\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3084\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 14\u7ae0 307\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300cNOAA\u7406\u4e8b\u300d\u306f\u300cNOAA\u9577\u5b98\u300d(NOAA\u306f\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81\u306b\u76f8\u5f53\u3059\u308b\u6a5f\u80fd\u3092\u3082\u3061\u3001\u305d\u306e\u9577\u306a\u306e\u3067)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>* 15\u7ae0 331\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u300c\u8ad6\u6587\u8a8c\u306e\u7de8\u96c6\u9577\u306f\u300d\u304b\u3089\u4e3b\u8a9e\u8ff0\u8a9e\u304c\u3064\u306a\u304c\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002\u300c\u8ad6\u6587\u304c\u63d0\u51fa\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304b\u30895\u65e5\u4ee5\u5185\u306b\u63a1\u629e\u3057\u3066\u3044\u3066\u300d\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3088\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8a73\u3057\u3044\u76ee\u6b21\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76ee\u6b21<br \/>\n\u30d7\u30ed\u30ed\u30fc\u30b0: \u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af<br \/>\n\u7b2c1\u7ae0 \u6226\u3044\u524d\u591c<br \/>\n &#8211; \u4e09\u76ee\u4e26\u3079<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30af<br \/>\n\u7b2c2\u7ae0 \u6c17\u5019\u79d1\u5b66\u6642\u4ee3\u306e\u5230\u6765<br \/>\n &#8211; \u5206\u304b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u4e94\u6bb5\u968e<br \/>\n &#8211; \u4f55\u3092\u305d\u3093\u306a\u306b\u9a12\u3044\u3067\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304b<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u306e\u516d\u6bb5\u968e<br \/>\n\u7b2c3\u7ae0 \u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u306b\u57cb\u3082\u308c\u305f\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb<br \/>\n &#8211; \u96d1\u97f3\u304b\u3089\u73fe\u308c\u51fa\u305f\u3082\u306e<br \/>\n &#8211; 1\u4e16\u7d00\u3067\u306f\u8db3\u308a\u306a\u3044<br \/>\n &#8211; \u4e2d\u4e16\u6e29\u6696\u671f<br \/>\n &#8211; \u5948\u843d\u306e\u5e95\u3078<br \/>\n\u7b2c4\u7ae0 \u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u306e\u751f\u3044\u7acb\u3061<br \/>\n &#8211; \u518d\u73fe\u9818\u57df<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30b2\u30fc\u30e0\u304c\u59cb\u307e\u308b<br \/>\n &#8211; \u4e16\u754c\u306e\u821e\u53f0\u3078<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u306e\u30cf\u30f3\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4f38\u3070\u3059<br \/>\n &#8211; \u7b2c3\u6b21\u8a55\u4fa1\u5831\u544a\u66f8<br \/>\n &#8211; \u8ad6\u6587\u304c\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e<br \/>\n\u7b2c5\u7ae0 \u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u306e\u539f\u70b9<br \/>\n &#8211; \u7591\u3044\u306f\u5f7c\u3089\u306e\u5546\u54c1<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30af\u30e9\u30a4\u30e1\u30fc\u30c8\u30a6\u30a9\u30fc\u30ba &#8212; \u6c17\u5019\u6226\u4e89<br \/>\n &#8211; \u5426\u5b9a\u8ad6\u306e\u30a8\u30fc\u30b8\u30a7\u30f3\u30c8\u305f\u3061<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30d7\u30ed\u3068\u30a2\u30de\u30c1\u30e5\u30a2<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u30b9\u30a6\u30a3\u30d5\u30c8\u30dc\u30fc\u30c6\u30a3\u30f3\u30b0<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30e1\u30c3\u30bb\u30f3\u30b8\u30e3\u30fc\u3092\u6bba\u305b<br \/>\n\u7b2c6\u7ae0 \u77e5\u306e\u95c7\u3092\u7167\u3089\u3059\u706f<br \/>\n &#8211; \u61d0\u7591\u306e\u5834\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306e\u67fb\u8aad<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30a4\u30f3\u30bf\u30fc\u30cd\u30c3\u30c8\u6642\u4ee3\u306e\u61d0\u7591\u4e3b\u7fa9<br \/>\n &#8211; \u554f\u984c\u306f\u7570\u5e38\u5024\u3060\u3088\u3001\u611a\u304b\u8005\u3081\u304c<br \/>\n &#8211; \u79d1\u5b66\u3068\u30e1\u30c7\u30a3\u30a2\u306e\u885d\u7a81<br \/>\n &#8211; IPCC\u3068\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u9053<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30d1\u30e9\u30c0\u30a4\u30e0\u8ee2\u63db<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30ac\u30ea\u30ec\u30aa\u8a6d\u5f01<br \/>\n\u7b2c7\u7ae0 \u6700\u524d\u7dda\u306b\u7acb\u3064<br \/>\n &#8211; \u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u30ae\u30d6\u30fb\u30a2\u30f3\u30c9\u30fb\u30c6\u30a4\u30af<br \/>\n &#8211; \u53cd\u5bfe\u8ad6\u8005\u306e\u653b\u52e2<br \/>\n\u7b2c8\u7ae0 \u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u3001\u30ef\u30b7\u30f3\u30c8\u30f3\u3078<br \/>\n &#8211; \u653f\u6cbb\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u5316<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30db\u30c3\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u306e\u53c2\u5165<br \/>\n &#8211; \u7de8\u96c6\u59d4\u54e1\u306e\u534a\u6570\u304c\u8f9e\u4efb<br \/>\n &#8211; \u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u306e\u30c7\u30bf\u30e9\u30e1<br \/>\n &#8211; \u7d71\u4e00\u6226\u7dda<br \/>\n\u7b2c9\u7ae0 \u8868\u7d19\u3092\u98fe\u308c\u3070&#8230;<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30c0\u30d3\u30c7\u5bfe\u30b4\u30ea\u30a2\u30c6<br \/>\n &#8211; 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&#8211; \u500b\u4eba\u653b\u6483<br \/>\n\u7b2c15\u7ae0 \u53cd\u6483<br \/>\n &#8211; \u9b54\u5973\u72e9\u308a\u306e\u5fa9\u6d3b<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30a6\u30a7\u30b0\u30de\u30f3\u518d\u6765\u3059<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6f6e\u306e\u5909\u308f\u308a\u76ee<br \/>\n\u30a8\u30d4\u30ed\u30fc\u30b0<br \/>\n &#8211; \u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u5f79\u5272<br \/>\n &#8211; \u524d\u3092\u898b\u3066<br \/>\n\u8b1d\u8f9e<br \/>\n\u8a33\u8005\u3042\u3068\u304c\u304d<br \/>\n\u7528\u8a9e\u89e3\u8aac<br \/>\n\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e<br \/>\n\u6ce8<br \/>\n\u7d22\u5f15<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Michael E. MANN, 2012: The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines. New York:Columb [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3699","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dokusyo-memo-"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3699","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3699"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3699\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7517,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3699\/revisions\/7517"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3699"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3699"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3699"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}