{"id":287,"date":"2010-08-04T00:11:24","date_gmt":"2010-08-03T15:11:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=287"},"modified":"2010-08-04T00:11:24","modified_gmt":"2010-08-03T15:11:24","slug":"the-economist-london-2010%e5%b9%b47%e6%9c%8810%e6%97%a5%e5%8f%b7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=287","title":{"rendered":"The Economist (London), 2010\u5e747\u670810\u65e5\u53f7"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Economist (London), 2010\u5e747\u670810\u65e5\u53f7<\/p>\n<p>Climate\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3070\u3092\u8868\u984c\u306b\u542b\u3080\u8a18\u4e8b\u304c4\u3064\u3082\u3042\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u8cb7\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u96d1\u8a8c\u306e\u6700\u521d\u306eLeaders\u3068\u3044\u3046\u90e8\u5206\u306f\u3001\u3042\u3068\u306b\u3042\u308b\u8a18\u4e8b\u306e\u8981\u70b9\u3092\u5148\u306b\u7d39\u4ecb\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3089\u3057\u3044\u3002\u300cClimate controversies &#8212; Flawed scientists\u300d(14\u30da\u30fc\u30b8 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/16539392\">http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/16539392<\/a> )\u306f\u3001Science and Technology\u306e\u90e8\u306e\u300cClimategate &#8212; Science behind closed doors\u300d(80-81\u30da\u30fc\u30b8 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/16537628\">http:\/\/www.economist.com\/node\/16537628<\/a> )\u3068\u4e00\u4f53\u3067\u6e96\u5099\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>7\u67087\u65e5\u306b\u3001East Anglia\u5927\u5b66\u304c\u4f9d\u983c\u3057\u305fMuir Russell\u3092\u5ea7\u9577\u3068\u3059\u308b\u8abf\u67fb\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a(<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cce-review.org\">http:\/\/www.cce-review.org<\/a> ) \u306e\u5831\u544a\u304c\u51fa\u305f\u3002Climate Research Unit (CRU)\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u306e\u4ed5\u4e8b\u306b\u4e0d\u6b63\u306f\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u306e\u524d\u306e7\u67085\u65e5\u306b\u3001IPCC\u306e\u7b2c4\u6b21\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306e\u7b2c2\u90e8\u4f1a\u306e\u5dfb\u306e\u5730\u57df\u5225\u306e\u90e8\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u30aa\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u306e\u56fd\u7acb\u74b0\u5883\u8a55\u4fa1\u6a5f\u95a2(PBL, <a  href=\"http:\/\/www.pbl.nl\/en\/\">http:\/\/www.pbl.nl\/en\/<\/a> )\u304c\u691c\u8a0e\u3057\u305f\u5831\u544a\u304c\u51fa\u305f\u3002\u7d30\u304b\u3044\u307e\u3061\u304c\u3044\u306f\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u7d50\u8ad6\u306b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>14\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u3001\u307e\u305a\u3001\u4e8c\u9178\u5316\u70ad\u7d20\u6392\u51fa\u3092\u6291\u5236\u3059\u308b\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u6839\u62e0\u306f\u3086\u3089\u3044\u3067\u3044\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308bClimategate\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u3078\u306e\u4e0d\u4fe1\u306e\u591a\u304f\u306f\u3001\u74b0\u5883\u554f\u984c\u3092\u7591\u3046\u610f\u56f3\u7684\u5ba3\u4f1d\u3084\u3001\u8aa4\u89e3\u306e\u4f1d\u64ad\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53cd\u9762\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u614b\u5ea6\u306b\u3082\u554f\u984c\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3068\u304f\u306bIPCC\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001Pachauri\u8b70\u9577\u3092\u540d\u6307\u3057\u3067\u4ea4\u4ee3\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u8b70\u9577\u306f\u5c02\u4efb\u3068\u3057\u3001\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u8457\u8005\u3092\u3082\u3063\u3068\u652f\u63f4\u3059\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3068\u3059\u308b(\u305d\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u3092\u3069\u3046\u3059\u308b\u304b\u306f\u3001IPCC\u904b\u55b6\u306b\u304b\u304b\u308f\u308b\u5404\u56fd\u4ee3\u8868\u306e\u4f1a\u8b70\u306e\u5224\u65ad\u306b\u671f\u5f85\u3059\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3060\u304c)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8868\u984c\u306eflawed scientists\u306f\u3042\u307e\u308a\u9069\u5207\u306a\u8868\u73fe\u3068\u306f\u601d\u3048\u306a\u3044\u304c\u300180\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3082\u53c2\u7167\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001IPCC\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u30e1\u30f3\u30d0\u30fc\u304c\u30b0\u30eb\u30fc\u30d7\u601d\u8003\u306b\u3068\u3089\u308f\u308c\u305f\u7d50\u679c\u3001\u5831\u544a\u304c\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u60aa\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u5f37\u8abf\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7591\u3044\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3059\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002(PBL\u306fIPCC\u304c\u660e\u793a\u7684\u306b\u60aa\u5f71\u97ff\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u8ad6\u3058\u308b\u306a\u3089\u3070\u3088\u3044\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305d\u3046\u3060\u304c\u3001\u8a18\u8005\u306f\u3088\u3044\u5f71\u97ff\u3082\u516c\u5e73\u306b\u8ad6\u3058\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002) IPCC\u306e\u7b2c1\u90e8\u4f1a\u3068\u7b2c2\u90e8\u4f1a\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u8005\u3092\u3001\u4e0d\u6ce8\u610f\u306b\u304b\u610f\u56f3\u7684\u306b\u304b\u3001\u3072\u3068\u307e\u3068\u3081\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>80\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u306fCRU\u306e\u307b\u3046\u306b\u91cd\u70b9\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002CRU\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u306b\u306f\u4e0d\u6b63\u306f\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5831\u544a\u3092\u8a8d\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u3053\u308c\u304b\u3089\u306e\u6539\u5584\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u70b9\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u60c5\u5831\u516c\u958b\u306b\u3082\u3063\u3068\u71b1\u5fc3\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u8abf\u67fb\u59d4\u54e1\u4f1a\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u306e\u6b63\u3057\u3055\u306e\u691c\u8a0e\u306f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u5834\u3067\u8ad6\u3058\u308b\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Science and technology\u306e\u56f2\u307f\u8a18\u4e8b\u300cClimate science &#8212;  A mammoth effect\u300d(81\u30da\u30fc\u30b8)\u306f\u3001\u6c37\u671f\u306e\u7d42\u308f\u308a\u306b\u30de\u30f3\u30e2\u30b9\u304c\u7d76\u6ec5\u3057\u305f\u306e\u306b\u4f34\u3063\u3066\u690d\u751f\u304c\u5909\u5316\u3057\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3069\u308c\u3060\u3051\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u5316(\u6e29\u6696\u5316)\u3092\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3057\u305f\u304b\u3092\u898b\u7a4d\u3082\u3063\u305f\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u7d39\u4ecb\u3002\u30de\u30f3\u30e2\u30b9\u306e\u7d76\u6ec5\u304c\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u305b\u3044\u3060\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u4eba\u9593\u304c1\u4e07\u5e74\u3082\u6614\u304b\u3089\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u5316\u3092\u8d77\u3053\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3060\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u539f\u8ad6\u6587(Economist\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u306f\u660e\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001Doughty\u307b\u304b, 2010)\u3092\u8aad\u3093\u3067\u3044\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3088\u304f\u308f\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b\u8d77\u304d\u305f1\u2103\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u3046\u30610.13\u2103\u304c\u3053\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u3067\u8aac\u660e\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a71\u3089\u3057\u304f\u3001\u6c17\u6e29\u5909\u5316\u306e\u8981\u56e0\u3082\u690d\u751f\u5909\u5316\u306e\u8981\u56e0\u3082\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3089\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3080\u305a\u304b\u3057\u3044\u306b\u3061\u304c\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u8457\u8005\u306e\u3072\u3068\u308aStanford\u5927\u5b66\u306eChristopher Field\u306e\u540d\u307e\u3048\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u304a\u305d\u3089\u304fEconomist\u306fIPCC\u7b2c2\u90e8\u4f1a\u5171\u540c\u8b70\u9577\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306eField\u306b\u53d6\u6750\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3068\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001IPCC\u306e\u8a71\u984c\u306f\u3001InterAcademy Council\u306e\u30ec\u30d3\u30e5\u30fc\u3092\u53d7\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u6700\u4e2d\u3060\u304b\u3089\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u7406\u7531\u3067\u3053\u3068\u308f\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3001\u76f4\u63a5\u653f\u6cbb\u306b\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u306a\u3044\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u8a71\u984c\u3067\u57cb\u3081\u305f\u306e\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>International\u306e\u90e8\u300cSecurity and the environment &#8212; Climate wars\u300d(62-63\u30da\u30fc\u30b8)\u306f\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u5316\u306f\u8ecd\u4e8b\u3092\u542b\u3080\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u91cd\u8981\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a71\u3002\u304b\u3093\u3070\u3064\u306a\u3069\u306b\u3088\u308b\u98df\u6599\u4e0d\u8db3\u304c\u3001\u7d1b\u4e89\u306e &#8220;threat multiplier&#8221; \u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u3060\u3002\u3068\u304f\u306bCleo Paskal\u306e\u300cGlobal Warring\u300d(m\u3067\u3082n\u3067\u3082\u306a\u304fr\u304c\u91cd\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b)\u3068Jeffrey Mazo\u306e\u300cClimate Conflict\u300d\u3068\u3044\u30462\u518a\u306e\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u672c\u304c\u304d\u3063\u304b\u3051\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002Gwynne Dyer (2008)\u306e\u300cThe Climate Wars\u300d<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/dyer_climate_wars.html\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30ce\u30fc\u30c8]<\/a>\u306f\u8a71\u984c\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6587\u732e<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Doughty, C. E., A. Wolf, and C. B. Field (2010): Biophysical feedbacks between the Pleistocene mega-fauna extinction and climate: The first human-induced global warming?, <i>Geophysical Research Letters<\/i>, 37, L15703, doi:10.1029\/2010GL043985 <a href=\"http:\/\/europa.agu.org\/?view=article&#038;uri=\/journals\/gl\/gl1015\/2010GL043985\/2010GL043985.xml\">[\u8ad6\u6587\u8981\u65e8\u3001\u8cfc\u8aad\u8005\u306f\u672c\u6587\u3082\u8aad\u3081\u308b]<\/a> [8\u67084\u65e5\u306e\u6bb5\u968e\u3067\u306f\u300c\u5370\u5237\u4e2d\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u300d\u3060\u3063\u305f\u304c\u30018\u67089\u65e5\u306b\u898b\u305f\u3089\u51fa\u7248\u6e08\u307f\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306e\u3067\u30ea\u30f3\u30af\u5148\u3092\u5909\u66f4\u3057\u305f\u3002]<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Economist (London), 2010\u5e747\u670810\u65e5\u53f7 Climate\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3070\u3092\u8868\u984c\u306b\u542b\u3080\u8a18\u4e8b\u304c4\u3064\u3082\u3042\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u8cb7\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u305f\u3002 \u3053\u306e\u96d1\u8a8c\u306e\u6700\u521d\u306eLeaders\u3068\u3044\u3046\u90e8\u5206\u306f\u3001\u3042\u3068\u306b\u3042\u308b\u8a18\u4e8b\u306e\u8981\u70b9\u3092\u5148\u306b [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-287","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dokusyo-memo-"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/287","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=287"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/287\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=287"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=287"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=287"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}