{"id":2808,"date":"2013-01-02T23:59:30","date_gmt":"2013-01-02T14:59:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=2808"},"modified":"2013-01-02T23:59:30","modified_gmt":"2013-01-02T14:59:30","slug":"hansen-%e3%83%8f%e3%83%b3%e3%82%bb%e3%83%b3-20092012-%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e6%b8%a9%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96%e3%81%a8%e3%81%ae%e9%97%98%e3%81%84-storms-of-my-grandchildren","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=2808","title":{"rendered":"James Hansen [\u30cf\u30f3\u30bb\u30f3]  (2009\/2012) \u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u3068\u306e\u95d8\u3044 \/ Storms of my Grandchildren"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>James HANSEN, 2009: <em>Storms of my Grandchildren<\/em>. London: Bloomsbury, 304 pp. ISBN 978-1-4088-0745-3 (pbk.)<\/li>\n<li>\u30b8\u30a7\u30a4\u30e0\u30ba\u30fb\u30cf\u30f3\u30bb\u30f3 \u8457, \u679d\u5ee3 \u6df3\u5b50 \u76e3\u8a33, \u4e2d\u5c0f\u8def \u4f73\u4ee3\u5b50 \u8a33 (2012): <em>\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u3068\u306e\u95d8\u3044 &#8212; \u3059\u3079\u3066\u306f\u672a\u6765\u306e\u5b50\u3069\u3082\u305f\u3061\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b<\/em>\u3002 \u65e5\u7d4cBP\u793e, 419 pp. ISBN 978-4-8222-4937-3.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u672c\u306f\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u82f1\u8a9e\u7248\u3067\u8aad\u3093\u3067<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/hansen2009.html\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30ce\u30fc\u30c8]<\/a>\u3092\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u305d\u308c\u3067\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u7248\u306e\u8a33\u8005\u306b\u3001\u5c02\u9580\u7528\u8a9e\u306e\u8868\u73fe\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u76f8\u8ac7\u306b\u306e\u3063\u305f\u3002(\u308f\u305f\u3057\u304c\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u7248\u3092\u51fa\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3092\u52e7\u3081\u305f\u308f\u3051\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u51fa\u3059\u306a\u3089\u3070\u8a33\u306f\u3088\u3044\u3082\u306e\u306b\u3057\u3066\u307b\u3057\u3044\u3068\u601d\u3063\u305f\u3002) \u51fa\u7248\u3055\u308c\u305f\u6587\u7ae0\u3092\u307e\u3060\u3066\u3044\u306d\u3044\u306b\u898b\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u7528\u8a9e\u306e\u3046\u3061\u300c\u6c17\u5019\u5f37\u5236\u4f5c\u7528\u300d\u306f\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306e\u6848\u304c\u53d6\u308a\u5165\u308c\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306fclimate forcing\u306e\u8a33\u3067\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u5224\u65ad\u306b\u8ff7\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3082\u8a33\u8005\u306b\u4f1d\u3048\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u8a9e\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306e\u8003\u3048\u306f\u5225\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u8a18\u4e8b<a href=\"http:\/\/d.hatena.ne.jp\/masudako\/20120606\/1338961679\">\u300c\u653e\u5c04\u5f37\u5236(\u529b?) &#8212; radiative forcing\u300d<\/a>\u53c2\u7167\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u672c\u306e\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306e\u8003\u3048\u306f\u82f1\u8a9e\u7248\u306e\u8aad\u66f8\u30ce\u30fc\u30c8\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3060\u304d\u305f\u3044\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u304f\u308a\u304b\u3048\u3057\u306b\u8fd1\u304f\u306a\u308b\u304c\u3001\u3044\u304f\u3064\u304b\u5f37\u8abf\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304d\u305f\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>Hansen\u6c0f\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u3060\u304c\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u3068\u3057\u3066\u767a\u8a00\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3068\u3001\u5e02\u6c11\u3068\u3057\u3066\u767a\u8a00\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u672c\u4eba\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u57fa\u6e96\u3092\u3082\u3063\u3066\u5207\u308a\u5206\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3089\u3057\u3044\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u304b\u3089\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u533a\u5225\u306f\u3042\u3044\u307e\u3044\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u3057\u3063\u304b\u308a\u5207\u308a\u5206\u3051\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3068\u304c\u3081\u3066\u3082\u3057\u304b\u305f\u306a\u304f\u3001Hansen\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4eba\u306f\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u3068\u5e02\u6c11\u306e\u7acb\u5834\u306b\u307e\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u767a\u8a00\u3059\u308b\u4eba\u3060\u3068\u8a8d\u8b58\u3057\u3066\u304a\u3051\u3070\u3088\u3044\u306e\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3042\u3068\u306b\u8ff0\u3079\u308b\u70b9\u3092\u9664\u3044\u3066\u3001\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001Hansen\u6c0f\u306e\u8a00\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u591a\u304f\u304c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u3059\u308b\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306e\u5e45\u306e\u5185\u306b\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5371\u967a\u5074\u306e\u7aef\u306b\u8fd1\u3044\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306fHansen\u6c0f\u304c\u81ea\u5206\u306e\u5f79\u5272\u3092\u300c\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u77e5\u898b\u3092\u57fa\u790e\u3068\u3057\u305f\u8b66\u544a\u8005\u300d\u3068\u8a8d\u8b58\u3057\u3066\u767a\u8a00\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3060\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u3060\u3002\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u306e\u898b\u89e3\u306e\u4ee3\u8868\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u504f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3068\u304c\u3081\u3066\u3082\u3057\u304b\u305f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u53d7\u3051\u53d6\u308b\u5074\u304c\u8a8d\u8b58\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308c\u3070\u3088\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u7b2c10\u7ae0\u300c\u5730\u7403\u306e\u91d1\u661f\u5316\u300d\u306e\u984c\u76ee\u306b\u3082\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u66b4\u8d70\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c<a href=\"http:\/\/d.hatena.ne.jp\/masudako\/20120522\/1337699351\">[\u5225\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u8a18\u4e8b\u53c2\u7167]<\/a>\u306e\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u5371\u967a\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3059\u308b\u307b\u3046\u306b\u884c\u304d\u904e\u304e\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u9ad8\u6e29\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u306b\u306a\u308b\u307b\u3069\u3001\u6c34\u84b8\u6c17\u306e\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u30d5\u30a3\u30fc\u30c9\u30d0\u30c3\u30af\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u3001\u6c17\u5019\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306e\u611f\u5ea6\u304c\u9ad8\u307e\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u6307\u6458\u306f\u3088\u3044\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3067\u6d77\u304c\u307f\u306a\u84b8\u767a\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u4e8b\u614b\u306b\u81f3\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7406\u5c48\u306f\u3001\u672c\u6587\u306b\u66f8\u304b\u308c\u3066\u304a\u3089\u305a\u3001\u8ad6\u7406\u304c\u98db\u8e8d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002Hansen\u306f1970\u5e74\u4ee3\u306b\u91d1\u661f\u5927\u6c17\u306e\u6570\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u3060\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u3069\u3046\u3082\u4eca\u306f\u3053\u306e\u554f\u984c\u3092\u3064\u304d\u3064\u3081\u3066\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306b\u601d\u308f\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u66b4\u8d70\u6e29\u5ba4\u306e\u554f\u984c\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u8ad6\u3058\u305f\u6559\u79d1\u66f8\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001Pierrehumbert (2010)\u306e <em>Principles of Planetary Climate<\/em> <a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=639\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30e1\u30e2]<\/a>\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u307e\u3060\u5168\u90e8\u8aad\u3093\u3067\u3044\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u7d22\u5f15\u3067runaway greenhouse\u3092\u3072\u304f\u3068\u3001\u7b2c4\u7ae0\u300cRadiative transfer in stratified atmospheres\u300d\u306b4.6\u7bc0\u300cAnother look at the runaway greenhouse\u300d\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u3053\u3067\u3044\u3046\u66b4\u8d70\u6e29\u5ba4\u3068\u306f\u3001\u5730\u8868\u9762\u6e29\u5ea6\u304c\u4e0a\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3082\u5730\u7403\u304b\u3089\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u304f\u5730\u7403\u653e\u5c04\u304c\u3075\u3048\u306a\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306a\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u3044\u3046\u3002284\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u3067\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u5730\u7403\u306f\u3001\u6b63\u5473\u306e\u96f2\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u8abf\u7bc0\u3092\u52a0\u3048\u305f\u5b9f\u8cea\u7684\u306a\u592a\u967d\u653e\u5c04\u5438\u53ce\u304c265 W\/m<sup>2<\/sup>\u3060\u304c\u3001\u7406\u8ad6\u8a08\u7b97\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u3053\u308c\u304c291\u3092\u8d8a\u3048\u308b(7\u5104\u5e74\u5f8c\u306b\u8d77\u3053\u308b)\u3068\u66b4\u8d70\u6e29\u5ba4\u304c\u8d77\u3053\u308a\u3046\u308b\u3001310\u3092\u8d8a\u3048\u308b(17\u5104\u5e74\u5f8c\u306b\u8d77\u3053\u308b)\u3068\u66b4\u8d70\u6e29\u5ba4\u304c\u907f\u3051\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u3053\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u306f\u5927\u6c17\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6563\u4e71\u3092\u8a73\u3057\u304f\u6271\u3046\u3088\u308a\u3082\u524d\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u96f2\u306e\u5f79\u5272\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1\u304c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u3089\u305a\u3001\u300c\u6b63\u5473\u306e\u96f2\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u8abf\u7bc0\u300d\u306e\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u6570\u91cf\u304c27 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