{"id":1508,"date":"2011-07-24T23:25:03","date_gmt":"2011-07-24T14:25:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=1508"},"modified":"2019-02-26T08:25:55","modified_gmt":"2019-02-25T23:25:55","slug":"%e6%b7%b1%e4%ba%95-%e6%9c%89-2011-%e6%b0%97%e5%80%99%e5%a4%89%e5%8b%95%e3%81%a8%e3%82%a8%e3%83%8d%e3%83%ab%e3%82%ae%e3%83%bc%e5%95%8f%e9%a1%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=1508","title":{"rendered":"\u6df1\u4e95 \u6709 (2011) \u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u3068\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u554f\u984c"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>\u6df1\u4e95 \u6709, 2011: <em>\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u3068\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u554f\u984c &#8212; CO<sub>2<\/sub>\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u8ad6\u4e89\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066<\/em> (\u4e2d\u516c\u65b0\u66f8 2120)\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u516c\u8ad6\u65b0\u793e, 268 pp. ISBN 978-4-12-102120-5.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u554f\u984c\u306e\u5bfe\u7b56\u306f\u3001\u7523\u696d\u6d3b\u52d5\u306e\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u6e90\u3092\u3069\u3046\u3059\u308b\u304b\u306e\u554f\u984c\u3068\u5207\u308a\u96e2\u305b\u306a\u3044\u3002\u305d\u3046\u3044\u3046\u8b70\u8ad6\u306e\u672c\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3044\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u5e2f\u306b\u3042\u308b\u300cIPCC\u304c\u634f\u9020\u3057\u305f\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316CO<sub>2<\/sub>\u539f\u56e0\u8aac\u300d\u3068\u306f\u306a\u306b\u3054\u3068\u3060? IPCC\u306f\u9670\u8b00\u3092\u305f\u304f\u3089\u3081\u308b\u307b\u3069\u5f37\u56fa\u306a\u7d44\u7e54\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u672c\u6587\u3092\u3056\u3063\u3068\u898b\u3066\u307f\u305f\u9650\u308a\u3067\u306f\u3001IPCC\u306b\u3088\u308b\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u3068\u308a\u3042\u3052\u304b\u305f\u306f\u3086\u304c\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3057\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316CO<sub>2<\/sub>\u539f\u56e0\u8aac\u306f\u3042\u3084\u3057\u3044\u3068\u3082\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3001IPCC\u304c\u634f\u9020\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4e3b\u5f35\u3092\u88cf\u3065\u3051\u308b\u8a3c\u62e0\u306f\u898b\u3042\u305f\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002\u5e2f\u306f\u672c\u81ea\u4f53\u3088\u308a\u3082\u6975\u7aef\u306a\u898b\u89e3\u3092\u8ff0\u3079\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002\u524d\u306e\u6708\u306b\u540c\u3058\u65b0\u66f8\u3067\u51fa\u305f\u5409\u7530\u6587\u548c\u300e<em>\u30b0\u30ea\u30fc\u30f3\u30fb\u30a8\u30b3\u30ce\u30df\u30fc<\/em>\u300f\u306e\u4f8b\u3082\u3042\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u4e2d\u592e\u516c\u8ad6\u65b0\u793e\u304c\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316CO<sub>2<\/sub>\u539f\u56e0\u8aac\u306f\u634f\u9020\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3046\u5ba3\u4f1d\u3092\u3059\u308b\u6a5f\u95a2\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u305f\u3068\u306f\u307e\u3060\u601d\u308f\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u521d\u306e\u30012009\u5e74\u306e\u30a4\u30ae\u30ea\u30b9\u306e\u30a4\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30a2\u30f3\u30b0\u30ea\u30a2\u5927\u5b66CRU\u306e\u96fb\u5b50\u30e1\u30fc\u30eb\u66b4\u9732\u4e8b\u4ef6\u306e\u8a71\u984c\u306e\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u3001\u300cCRU\u306f\u3001&#8230;IPCC\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u90e8\u9580\u3092\u7d71\u62ec\u3059\u308b\u3001\u516c\u6b63\u306a\u6a29\u5a01\u3042\u308b\u6a5f\u95a2\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u306e\u3060\u304c\u300d\u3068\u3042\u308b\u3002CRU\u306e\u6240\u9577\u3060\u3063\u305fJones\u6c0f\u306f\u78ba\u304b\u306bIPCC\u7b2c4\u6b21\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306e\u3072\u3068\u3064\u306e\u7ae0\u306e\u7de8\u8457\u8005\u3067\u306f\u3042\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u300c\u79d1\u5b66\u90e8\u9580\u3092\u7d71\u62ec\u300d\u306a\u3069\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002IPCC\u306f\u4e0a\u610f\u4e0b\u9054\u578b\u306e\u7d44\u7e54\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304c\u30012009\u5e74\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u4eca\u306e\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u300c\u79d1\u5b66\u90e8\u9580\u306e\u7d71\u62ec\u8005\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8868\u73fe\u304c\u3060\u308c\u304b\u306b\u3075\u3055\u308f\u3057\u3044\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u7b2c1\u90e8\u4f1a\u306e\u5171\u540c\u8b70\u9577\u306e\u3072\u3068\u308a\u306eStocker\u6c0f(\u30b9\u30a4\u30b9\u306e\u30d9\u30eb\u30f3\u5927\u5b66\u306e\u6559\u6388)\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u96d1\u306a\u4e8b\u5b9f\u8a8d\u8b58\u3067IPCC\u3084CRU\u3092\u3051\u306a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u306f\u304b\u306a\u308f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3069\u3046\u3082\u8457\u8005\u306f\u3001\u4e8b\u5b9f\u8a8d\u8b58\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3082\u52d5\u6a5f\u306e(\u9670\u8b00\u8ad6\u7684)\u89e3\u91c8\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3082Mosher and Fuller\u306e<em>Climategate<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/mosher_fuller.html\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30ce\u30fc\u30c8]<\/a>\u3084Montford\u306e<em>Hockey Stick Illusion<\/em>\u306e\u672c\u3092\u4fe1\u983c\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>1998\u5e74\u306b\u4eac\u90fd\u8b70\u5b9a\u66f8\u306e\u6279\u51c6\u3092\u963b\u6b62\u3059\u308b\u8acb\u9858\u306e\u7f72\u540d\u904b\u52d5\u306e\u4ee3\u8868\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305fSeitz\u6c0f\u306f\u3001\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u305d\u306e30\u5e74\u307b\u3069\u524d\u306b\u79d1\u5b66\u30a2\u30ab\u30c7\u30df\u30fc\u4f1a\u9577\u3060\u3063\u305f\u4eba\u3060\u304c\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4ef6\u306b\u300c\u5143\u300d\u306a\u3057\u3067\u300c\u7c73\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u30a2\u30ab\u30c7\u30df\u30fc\u4f1a\u9577\u306e\u8acb\u9858\u66f8\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3068\u3066\u3082\u4e0d\u9069\u5207\u3060\u3002\u5f53\u6642\u30a2\u30ab\u30c7\u30df\u30fc\u306f\u8acb\u9858\u66f8\u304c\u30a2\u30ab\u30c7\u30df\u30fc\u3068\u7121\u95a2\u4fc2\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u660e\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3002\u8457\u8005\u304c\u3053\u308c\u304c\u73fe\u5f79\u306e\u4f1a\u9577\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3068\u8aa4\u89e3\u3057\u3066\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u306b\u305b\u3088\u3001\u898b\u51fa\u3057\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u4eba\u304c\u300c\u5143\u300d\u3092\u66f8\u304d\u5fd8\u308c\u305f\u306b\u305b\u3088\u3001\u56de\u53ce\u5237\u308a\u306a\u304a\u3057\u306b\u3042\u305f\u3044\u3059\u308b\u91cd\u3044\u4e0d\u6ce8\u610f\u3060\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3002\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u610f\u56f3\u7684\u306b\u8aad\u8005\u3092\u8aa4\u89e3\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u306d\u3089\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b\u3002\u3082\u3057\u305d\u3046\u3060\u3068\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3053\u306e\u672c\u306e\u3044\u305f\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u306b\u3057\u304b\u3051\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u7591\u308f\u306a\u304f\u3066\u306f\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u3001RealClimate\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0(IPCC\u306e\u5206\u62c5\u57f7\u7b46\u7d4c\u9a13\u8005\u3092\u542b\u3080\u6570\u4eba\u306e\u79d1\u5b66\u8005\u304c\u3084\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b)\u306f\u691c\u95b2\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001Climate Audit\u3084Watts Up With That\u306f\u30aa\u30fc\u30d7\u30f3\u3060\u3001\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8457\u8005\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1\u306f\u3001\u3060\u308c\u304b\u306e\u515a\u6d3e\u7684\u767a\u8a00\u306e\u53e3\u3046\u3064\u3057\u306b\u3061\u304c\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u4eba\u306e\u591a\u3044\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u306f\u3001\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u306e\u63a1\u7528\u53ef\u5426\u3092\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u304c\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068(moderation\u3001\u691c\u95b2\u3068\u3044\u3048\u3070\u691c\u95b2)\u306a\u3057\u3067\u306f\u307e\u305a\u3084\u3063\u3066\u3044\u3051\u306a\u3044\u3002(\u4eee\u306b\u8457\u8005\u304c\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3092\u59cb\u3081\u3066\u6c34\u7d20\u71c3\u6599\u96fb\u6c60\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3092\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u3089\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3092\u5e38\u6e29\u6838\u878d\u5408\u3068\u6df7\u540c\u3057\u305f\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u3064\u3051\u3066\u3001\u4f55\u5ea6\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u3066\u3082\u308f\u304b\u3063\u3066\u304f\u308c\u305a\u5b9f\u8cea\u540c\u3058\u3053\u3068\u3092\u304f\u308a\u304b\u3048\u3059\u4eba\u304c\u3044\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3088\u3046\u3002\u8457\u8005\u3067\u3082\u3001\u3082\u3046\u304a\u307e\u3048\u306e\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u306f\u53d7\u3051\u4ed8\u3051\u306a\u3044\u305e\u3068\u8a00\u3044\u305f\u304f\u306a\u308b\u306b\u3061\u304c\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002) WUWT\u306f\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u3092\u516c\u958b\u524d\u306b\u691c\u95b2\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u304d\u306e\u3046\u3082Watts\u6c0f\u306e\u5e0c\u671b\u306b\u5fdc\u3058\u3066\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u3092Watts\u6c0f\u306b\u524a\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u6012\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4eba\u3092(\u5225\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u3067)\u898b\u305f\u3070\u304b\u308a\u3060\u3002Mosher and Fuller\u306e\u672c\u306b\u3082WUWT\u304c\u691c\u95b2\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u66f8\u304b\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002Climate Audit\u306f\u30b3\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u516c\u958b\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3042\u3068\u306b\u691c\u95b2\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8457\u8005\u306f\u5fdc\u7528\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u8005\u306b\u5206\u985e\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3046\u304c\u3001\u5b66\u90e8\u8ab2\u7a0b\u306f\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u30b3\u30fc\u30b9\u306e\u5352\u696d\u3060\u3002\u5927\u5b66\u9662\u304b\u3089\u306f\u91d1\u5c5e\u7269\u7406\u3092\u5c02\u653b\u3057\u3001\u91d1\u5c5e\u3068\u6c34\u7d20\u3068\u306e\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u306e\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u5a92\u4f53\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306e\u6c34\u7d20\u306e\u5229\u7528\u306b\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8457\u8005\u306e\u5730\u7403\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u3084\u305d\u306e\u5730\u8cea\u6642\u4ee3\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u306f\u3082\u3063\u3068\u3082\u306a\u306e\u3060\u3002\u3068\u3053\u308d\u304c\u3001\u6700\u8fd1\u6570\u767e\u5e74\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u5316\u306e\u8aac\u660e\u3068\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u306e\u4ef6\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u3001IPCC\u3078\u306e\u4e0d\u4fe1\u306e\u3042\u307e\u308a\u300cnot 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href=\"http:\/\/d.hatena.ne.jp\/masudako\/20110723\/1311421404\">[\u5225\u306e\u30d6\u30ed\u30b0\u8a18\u4e8b]<\/a>\u306b\u66f8\u3044\u305f\u3002)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6df1\u4e95 \u6709, 2011: \u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u3068\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u554f\u984c &#8212; CO2\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u8ad6\u4e89\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u3066 (\u4e2d\u516c\u65b0\u66f8 2120)\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u516c\u8ad6\u65b0\u793e, 268 pp. ISBN 978-4-12-102120-5. \u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u554f\u984c\u306e\u5bfe\u7b56\u306f\u3001 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