{"id":12037,"date":"2024-08-18T22:47:57","date_gmt":"2024-08-18T13:47:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=12037"},"modified":"2024-08-19T13:34:21","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T04:34:21","slug":"%e6%a0%b9%e6%9c%ac-%e9%a0%86%e5%90%89-1973-%e6%b0%b7%e6%b2%b3%e6%9c%9f%e3%81%b8%e5%90%91%e3%81%86%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=12037","title":{"rendered":"\u6839\u672c \u9806\u5409 (1973) \u6c37\u6cb3\u671f\u3078\u5411\u3046\u5730\u7403"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul>\n<li>\u6839\u672c \u9806\u5409, 1973: <em>\u6c37\u6cb3\u671f\u3078\u5411\u3046\u5730\u7403<\/em>\u3002\u98a8\u6fe4\u793e, 222 pp.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>1973\u5e74\u306b\u3067\u305f\u56db\u516d\u5224 \u7e26\u66f8\u304d \u30cf\u30fc\u30c9\u30ab\u30d0\u30fc\u3002\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u5b66\u751f\u306e\u3053\u308d\u3001\u304a\u3088\u305d1980\u5e74\u3054\u308d\u306b\u8cb7\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u672c\u306f\u300c\u308f\u305f\u3057\u3092\u3064\u304f\u3063\u305f\u672c\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u304b\u3093\u304c\u3048\u304b\u305f\u3092\u8eab\u306b\u3064\u3051\u305f\u3042\u3068\u3001\u300c1970\u5e74\u4ee3\u306e\u6c17\u8c61\u5b66\u8005\u306f\u5bd2\u51b7\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4ee3\u8868\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u304a\u304a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u6839\u672c\u9806\u5409\u3055\u3093\u306e\u8457\u66f8\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u3057\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3002\u62fe\u3044\u8aad\u307f\u3057\u305f\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3001\u5168\u4f53\u3092\u3068\u304a\u3057\u3066\u8aad\u3093\u3060\u3053\u3068\u306f\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u305f\u307e\u305f\u307e\u63a2\u7d22\u76ee\u7684\u3068\u5225\u306e\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3092\u8aad\u3093\u3067\u3001\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u3053\u3093\u306a\u3053\u3068\u3082\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306e\u304b\u3001\u3068\u3001\u304a\u3069\u308d\u304f\u3053\u3068\u3082\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u3053\u306e\u3042\u3068\u3001\u305f\u3057\u304b\u306b\u300c\u5730\u7403\u306f\u5bd2\u304f\u306a\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8da3\u65e8\u306e\u672c\u3092\u3060\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u304a\u305d\u3089\u304f\u984c\u540d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3044\u3061\u3070\u3093\u77e5\u3089\u308c\u305f\u672c\u66f8\u306f\u3001\u8868\u984c\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u4e3b\u5f35\u3092\u306e\u3079\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u304f\u307f\u305f\u3066\u3089\u308c\u305f\u672c\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u304c\u305d\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306b\u96d1\u8a8c\u306a\u3069\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3057\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u8a55\u8ad6\u3092\u307e\u3068\u3081\u305f\u8a55\u8ad6\u96c6\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3042\u3068\u304c\u304d\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001\u984c\u540d\u306f\u300c\u66f8\u8086\u306e\u5e0c\u671b\u306b\u3088\u308b\u300d\u3068\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3060\u3002\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u3001\u5358\u8457\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u672c\u66f8\u3088\u308a\u307e\u3048\u306b\u3001\u300e<em>\u5929\u6c17\u4e88\u5831<\/em>\u300f (\u65e5\u7d4c\u65b0\u66f8) \u3092\u3060\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3051\u308c\u3069\u3082\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81\u306e\u4eba\u306a\u3089\u3070\u3060\u308c\u304c\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3082\u540c\u69d8\u306a\u5185\u5bb9\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u672c\u66f8\u306f\u3001\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u81ea\u8eab\u306e\u601d\u8003\u306e\u6210\u679c\u3092\u672c\u306e\u304b\u305f\u3061\u306b\u3059\u308b \u306f\u3058\u3081\u3066\u306e\u6a5f\u4f1a\u3060\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3067\u3001\u591a\u69d8\u306a\u5185\u5bb9\u304c\u307e\u3056\u3063\u305f\u3082\u306e\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3068\u304a\u3082\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u672c\u66f8\u306f\u304a\u304a\u304d\u304f\u4e8c\u90e8\u306b\u308f\u304b\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u90e8\u306e\u984c\u540d\u306f\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u7b2c1\u90e8\u306e\u4e3b\u984c\u306f\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3060\u3068\u3044\u3048\u308b\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u3044\u308d\u3044\u308d\u306a\u6642\u9593\u30b9\u30b1\u30fc\u30eb\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306e\u8a71\u984c\u304c\u3044\u308a\u307e\u3058\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u6c17\u5019\u305d\u306e\u3082\u306e\u306e\u8a71\u984c\u3068\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u4eba\u9593\u793e\u4f1a\u306b\u304a\u3088\u307c\u3059\u554f\u984c\u306e\u8a71\u984c\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u7b2c2\u90e8\u306e\u8a71\u984c\u306f\u3001\u5929\u6c17\u306e\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u5065\u5eb7\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3001\u6708\u306e\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u5065\u5eb7\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3001\u6708\u306e\u5730\u9707\u305d\u306e\u307b\u304b\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4eee\u8aac\u306e\u691c\u8a0e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u51fa\u7248\u793e\u304c\u3053\u306e\u984c\u540d\u3092\u3048\u3089\u3093\u3060\u306e\u306f\u3001\u7b2c1\u90e8\u306e\u300c\u304d\u305f\u308b\u3079\u304d\u6c37\u6cb3\u6642\u4ee3\u3078\u306e\u8b66\u544a\u300d\u306e\u7ae0\u306e\u300c\u6c37\u6cb3\u671f\u304c\u6765\u308b\u306e\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b?\u300d\u306e\u7bc0\u306e\u8a71\u984c\u3092\u3068\u308a\u3042\u3052\u305f\u306e\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u30011972\u5e741\u670826-27\u65e5\u306b\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u306e\u30d6\u30e9\u30a6\u30f3\u5927\u5b66\u3067\u958b\u304b\u308c\u305f\u4f1a\u8b70\u300cThe present interglacial: How and when will it end? (\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u9593\u6c37\u671f\u306f\u3044\u3064\u3001\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3057\u3066\u7d42\u308b\u306e\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b?)\u300d\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u306e\u7d39\u4ecb\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4f1a\u8b70\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001Kukla, Matthews (1972) <em>Science<\/em> <strong>178<\/strong>: 190-191 \u306e\u77ed\u3044\u5831\u544a\u3068\u3001<em>Quaternary Research<\/em> Vol. 2 No. 3 (Nov. 1972) \u7279\u96c6\u53f7\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u672c\u66f8\u3088\u308a\u3082\u306f\u3084\u304f\u3001\u67f4\u8c37 \u7be4\u5f18 \u3055\u3093\u304c\u300e<em>\u307f\u3059\u305a<\/em>\u300f 162\u53f7 52-53 \u3067\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b (\u305d\u308c\u306f\u300e<em>\u53cd\u79d1\u5b66\u8ad6<\/em>\u300f<a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/yukukawa\/?p=1095\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30e1\u30e2]<\/a> \u306b\u53ce\u9332\u3055\u308c\u305f)\u3002\u4e07\u5e74\u30fb\u5341\u4e07\u5e74\u306e\u6642\u9593\u30b9\u30b1\u30fc\u30eb\u306e\u6c37\u671f\u30b5\u30a4\u30af\u30eb\u306e\u56e0\u679c\u95a2\u4fc2\u306e\u8a8d\u8b58\u304c\u3060\u3044\u3076\u3059\u3059\u3093\u3067\u3001\u3072\u3068\u3064\u306e\u6709\u529b\u306a\u8aac\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5730\u7403\u306e\u8ecc\u9053\u8981\u7d20\u5909\u5316\u306b\u3068\u3082\u306a\u3046\u5730\u7403\u306b\u5165\u5c04\u3059\u308b\u592a\u967d\u653e\u5c04\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3092\u539f\u56e0\u3068\u3059\u308b\u56e0\u679c\u95a2\u4fc2\u304c\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306b\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3046\u3068\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306f\u5317\u534a\u7403\u306e\u590f\u306e\u65e5\u5c04\u304c\u9577\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u3088\u308a\u3082\u3059\u304f\u306a\u3044\u72b6\u614b\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u5730\u7403\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u306f\u6c37\u671f\u306b\u3080\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306b\u3061\u304c\u3044\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3060\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u305d\u308c\u306f\u3001\u5343\u5e74\u306e\u3051\u305f\u306e\u6642\u9593\u3092\u304b\u3051\u3066\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306e\u306f\u305a\u3060\u3002\u4f1a\u8b70\u306e\u306a\u304b\u3067\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u767e\u5e74\u306e\u3051\u305f\u306b\u901f\u307e\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3082\u8b70\u8ad6\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3089\u3057\u3044\u3002<br \/>\n\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u3001\u3042\u3068\u304c\u304d\u3067\u3001\u4e88\u60f3\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30b7\u30f3\u30dd\u30b8\u30a6\u30e0\u306e\u7d50\u8ad6\u306b\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001\u6570\u767e\u5e74\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u6570\u5343\u5e74\u306b\u306a\u308b\u304b\u306f\u3088\u304f\u308f\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u6c17\u5019\u306f\u5bd2\u51b7\u5316\u306b\u3080\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3001\u3068\u307e\u3068\u3081\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c1\u90e8\u306e\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u5916\u306e\u90e8\u5206\u306f\u300120\u4e16\u7d00\u306f\u3058\u3081\u3054\u308d\u304b\u3089\u5404\u7ae0\u304c\u57f7\u7b46\u3055\u308c\u305f\u73fe\u5728\u307e\u3067\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306e\u5b9f\u614b\u3068\u3001\u305d\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u8003\u5bdf\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<br \/>\n\u3042\u3068\u304c\u304d\u3067\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u3001\u5b9f\u614b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001\u300c\u4e3b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6975\u5730\u306e\u5bd2\u51b7\u5316\u3001\u7b2c\u56db\u5c0f\u6c37\u671f\u3068\u547c\u3093\u3067\u3088\u3044\u300d\u3068\u307e\u3068\u3081\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u300c\u7b2c\u56db\u5c0f\u6c37\u671f\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u306e\u306f\u3001\u300c\u5730\u7403\u3092\u8986\u3046\u7570\u5e38\u6c17\u8c61\u300d\u306e\u7ae0\u306e27\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u7b2c1\u8868\u300c\u30e8\u30fc\u30ed\u30c3\u30d1 (56\u00b0N) \u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u5c0f\u6c37\u671f\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u76f8 (Shove 1961)\u300d\u3068\u3001\u7b2c5\u56f3\u300c\u5317\u897f\u30e8\u30fc\u30ed\u30c3\u30d1\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u51ac\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u5909\u52d5 [Easton \u304a\u3088\u3073 Wagner] \u306b\u66f8\u304b\u308c\u305f\u300c\u5c0f\u6c37\u671f \u7b2cI\u671f (1541-1680), \u7b2cII\u671f (1741-1770), \u7b2cIII\u671f (1801-1890)\u300d\u306b\u3064\u3065\u304f\u300c\u7b2cIV\u671f\u300d(1960-?)\u300d\u306b\u3042\u305f\u308b\u3002\u30e8\u30fc\u30ed\u30c3\u30d1\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u3092\u4ee3\u8868\u3059\u308b\u3082\u306e\u304b\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u306f\u4e0d\u3058\u3085\u3046\u3076\u3093\u3060\u304c\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u306b\u306f\u3042\u3066\u306f\u307e\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3068\u8003\u3048\u305f\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3042\u3068\u304c\u304d\u3067\u3001\u300c\u4f55\u304c\u6c17\u8c61\u3092\u5909\u5316\u3055\u305b\u305f\u304b\u300d\u306e\u7ae0\u3092\u3075\u308a\u304b\u3048\u3063\u3066\u3001\u539f\u56e0\u8ad6\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u8003\u3048\u3092\u3064\u304e\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u6574\u7406\u3057\u306a\u304a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u7fa9\u7684\u306b\u306f\u592a\u967d\u6d3b\u52d5\u3060\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u53ef\u8996\u5149\u7dda\u3088\u308a\u3082\u6ce2\u9577\u306e\u77ed\u3044\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u592a\u967d\u98a8(\u8377\u96fb\u7c92\u5b50\u6d41)\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u305d\u308c\u3092\u4fee\u98fe\u3059\u308b\u8981\u7d20\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001(1) \u6d77\u6c34\u6e29\u3001(2) \u6975\u306e\u96ea\u6c37\u3001(3) \u5927\u6c17\u6df7\u6fc1\u3068\u6210\u5206\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3001(4) \u6d77\u6d0b\u6c5a\u67d3 \u3092\u3042\u3052\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3010\u6c17\u5019\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306e\u305f\u3061\u3070\u304b\u3089\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u5185\u306e\u8981\u56e0\u3068\u5916\u306e\u8981\u56e0\u304c\u3044\u308a\u307e\u3058\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306b\u304b\u304e\u3089\u305a\u3001\u6c17\u5019\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u306e\u6982\u5ff5\u306e\u78ba\u7acb\u524d\u306e\u4eba\u305f\u3061\u306f\u3001\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u5185\u5916\u306e\u533a\u5225\u304c\u3042\u3044\u307e\u3044\u3060\u3063\u305f\u304c\u3001\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3092\u8ad6\u3058\u308b\u3068\u304d\u306f\u3001\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u3084\u96ea\u6c37\u306f\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u5916\u3068\u3068\u3089\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u304a\u304a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3011  (3) \u306e\u300c\u5927\u6c17\u6df7\u6fc1\u300d\u306f\u30a8\u30fc\u30ed\u30be\u30eb\u3001\u300c\u6210\u5206\u300d\u306f\u6c17\u4f53\u6210\u5206\u3092\u3055\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u3060\u3002\u300c\u6df7\u6fc1\u300d\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3068\u3057\u3066\u706b\u5c71 (\u300c\u4f59\u52b9\u306f3\u5e74\u7a0b\u5ea6\u300d)\u3001\u4eba\u70ba\u8d77\u6e90\u306e\u3082\u306e\u3068\u3057\u3066\u300c\u90fd\u5e02\u3001\u81ea\u52d5\u8eca\u3001\u5de5\u5834\u7b49\u306e\u6587\u660e\u7684\u8af8\u56e0\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3068\u3001\u713c\u7551\u8fb2\u8015\u306a\u3069\u306b\u3088\u308b\u958b\u767a\u9014\u4e0a\u56fd\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6c5a\u67d3\u300d\u3092\u3042\u3052\u3001\u300c\u30b5\u30d6\u30df\u30af\u30ed\u30f3\u30fb\u30a8\u30fc\u30ed\u30be\u30eb\u306f\u5927\u6c17\u4e2d\u306e\u6ede\u7559\u6642\u9593\u304c\u534a\u6c38\u4e45\u7684\u300d\u3060\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u300c\u5927\u6c17\u6210\u5206\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u70ad\u9178\u30ac\u30b9\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u306e\u5897\u5927\u304c\u6ce8\u76ee\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3010\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u3001\u539f\u56e0\u306e\u5217\u6319\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u4e8c\u9178\u5316\u70ad\u7d20\u306b\u3088\u308b\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u3092\u308f\u3059\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u76f8\u5bfe\u7684\u306a\u304a\u3082\u307f\u3065\u3051\u304c\u3061\u3044\u3055\u304b\u3063\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3002\u3011\u307e\u305f\u3001(4) \u306e\u6d77\u6d0b\u6c5a\u67d3\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u300c\u5b9f\u614b\u304c\u660e\u78ba\u3067\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3082\u3001(1)\u306e\u6d77\u6c34\u6e29\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u6cb9\u819c\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u5fc3\u914d\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u308f\u305f\u3057\u304c2006\u5e74\u3054\u308d\u3053\u306e\u672c\u3092\u3081\u304f\u3063\u3066\u3001\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u3053\u3093\u306a\u3053\u3068\u3082\u8ad6\u3058\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3001\u3068\u304a\u3069\u308d\u3044\u305f\u306e\u306f\u3001\u300c\u7570\u5e38\u6c17\u8c61: \u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7ae0\u306b\u3075\u304f\u307e\u308c\u305f\u300c\u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u539f\u7406\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7bc0 (51-54\u30da\u30fc\u30b8)\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u306e\u3072\u3068\u3064\u306f\u3001\u6c5a\u67d3\u554f\u984c\u3092\u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u5897\u5927\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8a8d\u8b58\u3057\u305f\u3046\u3048\u3067\u3001\u5bfe\u7b56\u3068\u3057\u3066\u300c\u592a\u967d\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u306e\u5229\u7528\u4ee5\u5916\u306b\u306a\u3044\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3044\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306b\u3064\u3065\u3044\u3066\u300c\u5730\u7403\u81ea\u8eab\u3001\u7269\u8cea\u7684\u306b\u9589\u3058\u3089\u308c\u305f\u7cfb\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4eca\u307e\u3067\u8003\u3048\u3066\u304d\u305f\u304c\u3001\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u9650\u308a\u3001\u5730\u7403\u306f\u958b\u304b\u308c\u305f\u7cfb\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3042\u3063\u3066\u3001\u592a\u967d\u3068\u5730\u7403\u3068\u306e\u6e29\u5ea6\u5dee\u304c\u8c4a\u5bcc\u306a\u4f4e\u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30d4\u30fc\u6e90\u3092\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u300d\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b (53\u30da\u30fc\u30b8)\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u305d\u3053\u306b\u5b9a\u91cf\u7684\u306a\u6570\u5024\u306f\u3067\u3066\u3053\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3053\u306e\u8a8d\u8b58\u306f\u3001\u69cc\u7530 \u6566 \u3055\u3093\u304c\u300e<em>\u79d1\u5b66<\/em>\u300f 1978\u5e74 2, 3, 5\u6708\u53f7\u306b\u9023\u8f09\u3057\u305f\u300c\u8cc7\u6e90\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u306e\u8a66\u307f\u300d (\u3068\u304f\u306b\u305d\u306e\u7b2c3\u90e8) \u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u306b\u3061\u304b\u3044\u3002(\u305f\u3060\u3057\u69cc\u7530\u3055\u3093\u306f\u592a\u967d\u5149\u306e\u4f4e\u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30d4\u30fc\u6027\u3092\u91cd\u8996\u305b\u305a\u3001\u3080\u3057\u308d\u71b1\u6c5a\u67d3\u6e90\u306e\u3072\u3068\u3064\u3068\u307f\u308b\u3051\u308c\u3069\u3082\u3002) \u69cc\u7530\u3055\u3093\u306f1976\u5e74\u3054\u308d\u304b\u3089\u305d\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u3092\u3069\u3053\u304b\u306b\u66f8\u3044\u3066\u3044\u305f (\u3068\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u8a18\u61b6\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304c\u3069\u3053\u304b\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044) \u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306b\u3057\u3066\u3082\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306e\u307b\u3046\u304c\u65e9\u3044\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u304b\u3089\u69cc\u7530\u3055\u3093\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306f\u308f\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3082\u3046\u3072\u3068\u3064\u306f\u3001\u304a\u306a\u305853\u30da\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u300c\u7b2c9\u56f3 \u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u306e\u5229\u7528\u306e\u5909\u9077 (\u30d2\u30e5\u30fc\u30d9\u30eb\u30c8, 1962)\u300d\u3060\u3002\u6587\u732e\u306e\u66f8\u8a8c\u60c5\u5831\u304c\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u3053\u306e\u300c\u30d2\u30e5\u30fc\u30d9\u30eb\u30c8\u300d\u306f Hubbert \u306b\u3061\u304c\u3044\u306a\u3044 (\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3001\u304b\u306a\u8868\u8a18\u306f\u300c\u30cf\u30d0\u30fc\u30c8\u300d\u304c\u3088\u3044\u3068\u304a\u3082\u3046)\u3002\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u3001Hubbert \u306b\u3088\u308b\u77f3\u6cb9\u7523\u51fa\u91cf\u306e\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u7684\u307f\u3064\u3082\u308a\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u3092\u3001Deffeyes (2001 \u3068 2005) \u306e\u672c <a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/hubbert.html\">[\u8aad\u66f8\u30ce\u30fc\u30c8]<\/a> \u3067\u77e5\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u3044\u304f\u3064\u304b\u306e\u672c\u3092\u8aad\u3093\u3060\u3002(\u8aad\u66f8\u30ce\u30fc\u30c8\u76ee\u6b21\u30da\u30fc\u30b8 <a href=\"http:\/\/macroscope.world.coocan.jp\/ja\/reading\/index_entropy.html\">[\u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30d4\u30fc\u30fb\u71b1\u529b\u5b66\u3001\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u8cc7\u6e90\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u672c]<\/a> \u306e\u300c\u77f3\u6cb9\u7523\u51fa\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3068\u305d\u306e\u5f8c\u300d\u306e\u3068\u3053\u308d\u306b\u5217\u6319\u3057\u305f\u3002) \u305d\u306e\u3042\u3068\u3067\u3001\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u304c1972\u5e74\u306b\u3059\u3067\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3053\u3068\u306b\u6c17\u3065\u3044\u3066\u304a\u3069\u308d\u3044\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u3053\u306e\u56f3\u3068\u672c\u6587\u306e\u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30d4\u30fc\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u306f\u660e\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002(\u77f3\u6cb9\u3092\u3082\u3084\u305b\u3070\u9ad8\u6e29\u306e\u71b1\u3092\u3064\u304f\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u3001\u305d\u308c\u306f\u5e38\u6e29\u306e\u540c\u3058\u91cf\u306e\u71b1\u3088\u308a\u306f\u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30d4\u30fc\u304c\u4f4e\u3044\u3001\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3088\u3044\u306e\u3060\u3068\u304a\u3082\u3046\u304c\u3002) <\/p>\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u7b2c1\u90e8\u304c\u8a55\u8ad6\u3060\u3063\u305f\u306e\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u3001\u7b2c2\u90e8\u306f\u7814\u7a76\u9014\u4e0a\u306e\u4e2d\u9593\u5831\u544a\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002<br \/>\n\u7b2c2\u90e8\u306e\u3046\u3061\u3001\u300c\u6c17\u8c61\u6027\u75be\u60a3\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u300d\u306e\u7ae0\u306e\u4e3b\u984c\u306f\u3001\u4f4e\u6c17\u5727\u306e\u901a\u904e\u306b\u4ee3\u8868\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5929\u6c17\u73fe\u8c61\u3068\u3001\u6c17\u7ba1\u652f\u305c\u3093\u305d\u304f\u306b\u4ee3\u8868\u3055\u308c\u308b\u75c5\u6c17\u3068\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u3042\u3068\u304c\u304d\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u7814\u7a76\u8ad6\u6587\u3082\u51fa\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u300c\u73fe\u5728\u3053\u308c\u3092\u5229\u7528\u3057\u3066\u6bce\u65e5\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u75c5\u9662\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u5598\u606f\u4e88\u5831\u3092\u8a66\u307f\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3002(\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81\u8077\u54e1\u306e\u8077\u52d9\u3067\u3084\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3068\u306f\u304a\u3082\u3048\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3060\u304c\u3001\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81\u306e\u4e88\u5831\u306e\u5fdc\u7528\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u3072\u308d\u3052\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u6d3b\u52d5\u3068\u3057\u3066\u307f\u3068\u3081\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306e\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002)<\/p>\n<p>\u7b2c2\u90e8\u306e\u306e\u3053\u308a\u306f\u3001\u6708\u3068\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u6708\u3068\u5730\u9707\u306e\u76f8\u95a2\u306e\u8a71\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6708\u306e\u72b6\u614b\u306f\u300c\u6708\u9f62\u300d\u3064\u307e\u308a\u6708\u306e\u307f\u3061\u304b\u3051\u3067\u4ee3\u8868\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3082\u6839\u672c\u3055\u3093\u306f\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3084\u304f\u3060\u3064\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u3055\u3050\u3063\u3066\u3044\u305f\u306e\u3060\u3002\u3010\u3044\u307e\u308f\u305f\u3057\u304c\u8003\u3048\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4eba\u9593\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3068\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u6708\u306e\u307f\u3061\u304b\u3051\u306f\u3001\u591c\u306e\u3042\u304b\u308b\u3055\u306e\u5909\u5316\u3092\u901a\u3058\u3066\u5065\u5eb7\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u3042\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3060\u304c\u3001\u7167\u660e\u304c\u767a\u9054\u3059\u308b\u306b\u3064\u308c\u3066\u305d\u306e\u56e0\u679c\u95a2\u4fc2\u306f\u3046\u3059\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u3002\u4ed6\u65b9\u3001\u6f6e\u6c50\u529b\u3092\u901a\u3058\u305f\u95a2\u4fc2\u304c\u3001\u3042\u307e\u308a\u6709\u610f\u306b\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3082\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u305a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u6307\u6a19\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6708\u9f62\u306f\u3088\u3044\u306e\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u5730\u9707\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u3082\u3057\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u4e2d\u9593\u9805\u306f\u6f6e\u6c50\u529b\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b\u3089\u3001\u6307\u6a19\u306f\u6708\u9f62\u3067\u3088\u3044\u306e\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3002\u3011<\/p>\n<p>\u6298\u308a\u304b\u3048\u3057\u306e\u3042\u3068\u306b\u76ee\u6b21\u3092\u3064\u3051\u308b\u3002\u5404\u7ae0\u306e\u8868\u984c\u306e\u3042\u3068 [ ] \u306e\u4e2d\u306b\u521d\u51fa\u3092\u3057\u3081\u3057\u305f\u3002<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\n===== \u76ee\u6b21 =====<br \/>\n\u76ee\u6b21<br \/>\n== I ==<br \/>\n\u5730\u7403\u3092\u8986\u3046\u7570\u5e38\u6c17\u8c61 [\u300e\u4e2d\u592e\u516c\u8ad6\u300f 1972\u5e7411\u6708\u53f7]<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6c17\u5019\u306f\u304b\u308f\u308b<br \/>\n &#8211; \u5317\u6975\u306e\u5bd2\u51b7\u5316<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6c37\u6cb3\u6642\u4ee3\u306b\u3064\u306a\u304c\u308b\u304b<br \/>\n &#8211; \u964d\u96e8\u4e0d\u5b89\u5b9a\u73fe\u8c61<br \/>\n &#8211; \u7570\u5e38\u6c17\u8c61\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u3068\u305d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff<br \/>\n\u7570\u5e38\u6c17\u8c61 \u30fb \u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u73fe\u5b9f\u306b [\u300e\u4e2d\u592e\u516c\u8ad6\u300f 1972\u5e7412\u6708\u53f7]<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30c0\u30a4\u30fb\u30aa\u30d5<br \/>\n &#8211; \u3064\u3044\u3046\u3063\u304b\u308a\u3068<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30a8\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30d4\u30fc\u306e\u539f\u7406<br \/>\n\u4f55\u304c\u6c17\u8c61\u3092\u5909\u5316\u3055\u305b\u305f\u304b [\u300e\u81ea\u7136\u300f 1971\u5e743\u6708\u53f7 \u304b\u3089\u6284\u51fa]<br \/>\n &#8211; \u5927\u6c17\u6df7\u6fc1\u3068\u305d\u306e\u539f\u56e0<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6d77\u6d0b\u6c5a\u67d3\u306e\u5f71\u97ff<br \/>\n\u304d\u305f\u308b\u3079\u304d\u6c37\u6cb3\u6642\u4ee3\u3078\u306e\u8b66\u544a [\u300e\u6c17\u8c61\u300f 1971-1973\u5e74 \u306e\u8907\u6570\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3092\u3082\u3068\u306b\u66f8\u304d\u304a\u308d\u3057]<br \/>\n &#8211; \u5bd2\u304f\u306a\u308b<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6c37\u6cb3\u6642\u4ee3\u306e\u6c17\u5727\u914d\u7f6e<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30c6\u30ec\u30b3\u30cd\u30af\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6d77\u6c34\u4f4d\u306e\u5909\u5316<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6c37\u6cb3\u6642\u4ee3\u304c\u304f\u308b\u306e\u3060\u308d\u3046\u304b?<br \/>\n &#8211; &#8211; \u4f1a\u8b70\u306e\u30c6\u30fc\u30de<br \/>\n &#8211; &#8211; \u5bd2\u51b7\u5316\u3068\u9593\u6c37\u671f\u306e\u5b9f\u614b<br \/>\n &#8211; &#8211; \u9593\u6c37\u671f\u3068\u305d\u306e\u7d42\u672b<br \/>\n &#8211; &#8211; \u7d50\u8ad6\u3068\u898b\u901a\u3057<br \/>\n\u4eba\u53e3\u3068\u74b0\u5883\u8ad6\u4e89 [\u300e\u81ea\u7136\u300f 1972\u5e7410\u6708\u53f7]<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30b9\u30c8\u30c3\u30af\u30db\u30eb\u30e0\u3067\u306e\u6fc0\u8ad6<br \/>\n &#8211; \u4e21\u8005\u306e\u8ad6\u4e89\u70b9\u3068\u304a\u304b\u3057\u306a\u5f0f<br \/>\n &#8211; \u7570\u5e38\u6c17\u8c61\u3068\u4eba\u53e3\u7206\u767a<br \/>\n &#8211; \u751f\u5b58\u3078\u306e\u9752\u5199\u771f\u3068\u65e5\u672c\u6539\u9020\u8ad6<br \/>\n\u74b0\u5883\u554f\u984c\u306e\u73fe\u72b6\u3068\u80cc\u666f [\u300e\u904a\u300f 3\u53f7 1972\u5e74 \u539f\u984c\u300c\u4e16\u754c\u6c17\u8c61\u5b66\u53f2\u5e8f\u8aac\u300d\u3001\u52a0\u9664\u3042\u308a]<br \/>\n== II ==<br \/>\n\u79d1\u5b66\u53f2\u306e\u4e00\u9762 &#8212; \u5384\u65e5\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u3092\u4e00\u4f8b\u3068\u3057\u3066 [\u4e09\u679d\u535a\u97f3\u8a18\u5ff5\u8ad6\u96c6\u300e\u4e16\u754c\u53f2\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u6587\u5316\u300f 1965\u5e74]<br \/>\n\u6c17\u8c61\u6027\u75be\u60a3\u306e\u4e88\u5831 [\u300e\u751f\u6c17\u8c61\u5b66\u300f 1968\u5e74 \u304b\u3089\u6284\u51fa]<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6c17\u8c61\u6027\u75be\u60a3\u4e88\u5831\u306e\u8003\u3048\u65b9<br \/>\n &#8211; \u53cd\u5fdc\u578b\u5f0f\u306e\u9055\u3044<br \/>\n &#8211; &#8211; \u4f4e\u6c17\u5727\u6027\u306e\u5faa\u74b0\u306b\u3068\u3082\u306a\u308f\u308c\u305f\u75c7\u72b6\u306e\u5909\u5316<br \/>\n &#8211; &#8211; \u9ad8\u6c17\u5727\u6027\u306e\u5faa\u74b0\u306b\u3068\u3082\u306a\u308f\u308c\u305f\u75c7\u72b6\u306e\u5909\u5316<br \/>\n &#8211; &#8211; \u7279\u6b8a\u306a\u6c17\u8c61\u6761\u4ef6\u306b\u3068\u3082\u306a\u308f\u308c\u305f\u75c7\u72b6\u306e\u5909\u5316<br \/>\n &#8211; \u4e88\u5831\u306e\u5b9f\u969b<br \/>\n\u75c5\u6c17\u3068\u6708\u9f62\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066 [\u300e\u5929\u6c17\u300f 1963\u5e748\u6708\u53f7]<br \/>\n\u6708\u306b\u307e\u3064\u308f\u308b\u8a71\u984c [\u300e\u79d1\u5b66\u306e\u5b9f\u9a13\u300f 1964\u5e7410\u6708\u53f7]<br \/>\n &#8211; \u3068\u308a\u3042\u3052\u65b9\u306e\u5909\u9077<br \/>\n &#8211; \u6708\u306e\u5f71\u97ff<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30d1\u30ed\u30ed\u306e\u6d6e\u904a\u73fe\u8c61<br \/>\n &#8211; \u5e83\u6d25\u548c\u90ce\u6c0f\u306e\u89b3\u5bdf<br \/>\n &#8211; \u30d6\u30e9\u30c3\u30c9\u30ec\u30fc\u3001\u30dc\u30fc\u30a8\u30f3\u7b49\u306e\u7814\u7a76<br \/>\n &#8211; \u75c5\u6c17\u3068\u6708\u9f62<br \/>\n &#8211; \u5384\u65e5\u3068\u6708\u9f62<br \/>\n\u6708\u3068\u5730\u9707\u306e\u76f8\u95a2 &#8212; \u6708\u9f62\u304b\u3089\u307f\u305f\u5730\u9707\u9632\u707d\u30ab\u30ec\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc [\u300e\u81ea\u7136\u300f 1972\u5e7410\u6708\u53f7\u3001\u300e\u9031\u520a\u671d\u65e5\u300f 1973\u5e741\u67085\u65e5\u53f7\u3001\u30ab\u30ec\u30f3\u30c0\u30fc\u306f\u65b0\u898f]<br \/>\n== ==<br \/>\n\u3042\u3068\u304c\u304d<br \/>\n==========<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6839\u672c \u9806\u5409, 1973: \u6c37\u6cb3\u671f\u3078\u5411\u3046\u5730\u7403\u3002\u98a8\u6fe4\u793e, 222 pp. 1973\u5e74\u306b\u3067\u305f\u56db\u516d\u5224 \u7e26\u66f8\u304d \u30cf\u30fc\u30c9\u30ab\u30d0\u30fc\u3002\u308f\u305f\u3057\u306f\u5b66\u751f\u306e\u3053\u308d\u3001\u304a\u3088\u305d1980\u5e74\u3054\u308d\u306b\u8cb7\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u672c\u306f\u300c\u308f\u305f\u3057\u3092\u3064\u304f\u3063\u305f\u672c\u300d\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u306b\u3088\u308b 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